Betting The Preakness

[Cajungator26]

Originally Posted by sumitas

that and Red Bullet are exceptions...overall my statement is correct the vast majority of the time and you would do well to heed that trend this year or prepare to lose again.

There have been a few that didn't run in the Derby from recent memory that hit the board in the Preakness...

Eddington hit the board finishing 3rd in 2004, Scrappy T finished 2nd in 2005, and obviously last year, Bernardini won and Hemingway's Key finished 3rd.

[sumitas]

Originally Posted by Cajungator26

There have been a few that didn't run in the Derby from recent memory that hit the board in the Preakness...

Eddington hit the board finishing 3rd in 2004, Scrappy T finished 2nd in 2005, and obviously last year, Bernardini won and Hemingway's Key finished 3rd.

the numbers over time will return to the trend i identified. this year only KD horses will be in the top 3.

[Cajungator26]

Originally Posted by sumitas

the numbers over time will return to the trend i identified. this year only KD horses will be in the top 3.

My crystal ball tells me that one of the top 3 will be off the board.

[sumitas]

Originally Posted by Cajungator26

My crystal ball tells me that one of the top 3 will be off the board.

not this year.. the KD horses (including CQ) are clearly better than the Preakness newbies.

[pick4]

Originally Posted by Cardus

Definitely agree. I just don't know whether it will be Curlin or Hard Spun. I'm leaning towards throwing Hard Spun overboard.

I can understand why one could come to that conclusion. Hard Spun ran a tough race and is coming back in short order. But what makes you think Hard Spun fired his best shot in Kentucky and won't be able to run at the very least an in the money performance?