Least effected by pole position

[Merlinsky]

Originally Posted by Cajungator26

BC Juvy post positions (for contenders running in the Derby):

1 Street Sense Calvin Borel Carl Nafzger (finished 1st)
2 Stormello Kent Desormeaux William Currin (finished 5th)
3 Scat Daddy John Velazquez Todd Pletcher (finished 4th)
7 Great Hunter Corey Nakatani Doug O'Neill (finished 3rd)
8 Teuflesberg Robby Albarado Jamie Sanders (finished 10th)
9 Circular Quay Garrett Gomez Todd Pletcher (finished 2nd)

What's the most Juvie runners that've made the field? I just think its impressive that the top 5 finishers are back. Given the obsession with precocity it'd be interesting to see where they all finish as a group. This might be the Juvie jinx-breaking year too.

Are they actually going to be able to calm Stormello down or is it a fool's errand? I just think it's one thing to trick him into going slowly during a work when he doesn't realize that's what he's doing, another to be in a chaotic rush to the first turn with 19 other horses and a wall o' sound as they head to the homestretch.

Circular Quay.

He will be coming from far back anyway and can run all day anyway. And I dont think there is going to be enough speed for him to make a run. So the only way I see him winning is if the field is very tight coming into stretch and he gets to the outside and blows by a bunch of packed horses at one time. Its his only hope.

[jpops757]

Originally Posted by pgardn

Circular Quay.

He will be coming from far back anyway and can run all day anyway. And I dont think there is going to be enough speed for him to make a run. So the only way I see him winning is if the field is very tight coming into stretch and he gets to the outside and blows by a bunch of packed horses at one time. Its his only hope.

I agree and think you can put SS in the same catagory. They both need to pass several horses in a group bunched up. Passing a lomg strung ou field will be very tough for either one. If they get there trip it could be very exciting with about half of the field gutting it out for the wire.

Originally Posted by jpops757

I agree and think you can put SS in the same catagory. They both need to pass several horses in a group bunched up. Passing a lomg strung ou field will be very tough for either one. If they get there trip it could be very exciting with about half of the field gutting it out for the wire.

You think?
I think SS can be closer to the pace. I think his problem will be in a pack. If he gets a nice path behind a smaller group of front runners I think he can pick them off one by one.