Keeneland Saturday

[philcski]

R5: I really like #11 Scarlett's Place's chances in this race at 10-1. In her debut at Hol, she got slammed at the start, then rushed up between horses to grab 2nd behind a solid favorite, then weakened late to get nailed at the wire for 2nd. She will be much improved in this race, and while I respect the Pletcher filly speed is very poor on the Poly as we all know, which leaves the #10 (who ran super in her debut) off a long layoff as the other main contender.

R6: I feel very uncomfortable singling Wait a While on the soft turf, but she just may be that good. Since the start of '06 she has had exactly one poor effort, a disappointing 3rd in the Bonnie Miss. Getting beat 4 lengths in the BC by the other 2 best turf fillies in America and the best turf mare in the world isn't a bad effort, especially considering she was somewhat wide throughout. I really can't make a case for anyone else in here and would feel like I was throwing away money if I don't single her and she wins.

R7: A messy race I have no real strong opinion in, I will use 5 in the P4 and P6 and hope to survive- the 2,3,5,8, and 9.

R8: Steel Light is a beast. If he takes to the poly at ALL, he is unquestionably the one to beat. Missing all of '06 would be a huge black mark but he answered any questions about his physical condition in the Appleton, running a troubled second to Silver Tree who on talent alone is better than anyone else in here. Ramsgate is also a must use for obvious reasons; and the "most likeliest" winner outside of Midnight Lute. Ryan's for Real may or may not be for real; running a super 2nd to multiple G1 winner Silver Wagon at that guy's ideal distance/setup after dueling on the front end gives me hope that at 12-1 or higher he IS for real. Gin and Sin is a cut below these, but might be a good exotics add. Silent Name will likely take more action then I'd be interested in from a standalone race basis but I will not let him beat me in multirace wagers. I have no interest in the remaining group.

R9: Not much to discuss here that isn't already known; punch the 4 and 7 in multirace wagers and enjoy the battle. I can make a case for Zanjero and Dominican underneath but would be hard pressed to have them on top.

R10: Coming off the turf may be beneficial from a perspective of doping out this race. I will be using the 1 prominently, with the 4,7,8 as well. Has Kee Poly experience and success, and turns back off a marathon with a couple nice breezes in between that should sharpen her up.

P6 play:
4,10,11/2/8,9/4,5,7/4,7/1 $72
4,10,11/2/2,3,5/4,5,7/4,7/1 $108
4,10,11/2/8,9/6,8,10/4,7/1 $72

Total cost: $252

P4 play:
2,3,5,8,9/4,5,7/4,7/1,4,7,8 $120
2,3,5,8,9/4,5,6,7,8,10/4,7/1 $60

Total cost: $180 for $1

[ateamstupid]

They sure are taking their time in between races today..

[MisterB]

10 STREAM CAT , why not?? Might be ready!

[Scav]

I just don't understand how they can play Perfect Drift down to 8/5..

Box me 1,2,5,11 and win money on the 11

[Sightseek]

boxed the 4, 7, 8, 10 in the super & played the 8

[Sightseek]

Originally Posted by MisterB

10 STREAM CAT , why not?? Might be ready!

got it.

[MisterB]

Originally Posted by Sightseek

got it.

Far and in between

[MisterB]

#4 MINI SERMON PULPIT/STORM CAT and the handling of the Todd man, can't go against.

[SniperSB23]

Originally Posted by MisterB

#4 MINI SERMON PULPIT/STORM CAT and the handling of the Todd man, can't go against.

Like the Pletcher on top, can't figure out who to play under. Leaning towards 4/5,6,7/5,6,7

[ArlJim78]

Originally Posted by philcski

R6: I feel very uncomfortable singling Wait a While on the soft turf, but she just may be that good. Since the start of '06 she has had exactly one poor effort, a disappointing 3rd in the Bonnie Miss. Getting beat 4 lengths in the BC by the other 2 best turf fillies in America and the best turf mare in the world isn't a bad effort, especially considering she was somewhat wide throughout. I really can't make a case for anyone else in here and would feel like I was throwing away money if I don't single her and she wins.

FYI
its off the turf.

[philcski]

Originally Posted by ArlJim78

FYI
its off the turf.

Yeah, just saw that. Spent 2 hours debating on whether she is vulnerable on the soft... it makes my decision easy. She isn't getting beat on the Poly.

[philcski]

Originally Posted by philcski

R5: I really like #11 Scarlett's Place's chances in this race at 10-1. In her debut at Hol, she got slammed at the start, then rushed up between horses to grab 2nd behind a solid favorite, then weakened late to get nailed at the wire for 2nd. She will be much improved in this race, and while I respect the Pletcher filly speed is very poor on the Poly as we all know, which leaves the #10 (who ran super in her debut) off a long layoff as the other main contender.

R6: I feel very uncomfortable singling Wait a While on the soft turf, but she just may be that good. Since the start of '06 she has had exactly one poor effort, a disappointing 3rd in the Bonnie Miss. Getting beat 4 lengths in the BC by the other 2 best turf fillies in America and the best turf mare in the world isn't a bad effort, especially considering she was somewhat wide throughout. I really can't make a case for anyone else in here and would feel like I was throwing away money if I don't single her and she wins.

R7: A messy race I have no real strong opinion in, I will use 5 in the P4 and P6 and hope to survive- the 2,3,5,8, and 9.

R8: Steel Light is a beast. If he takes to the poly at ALL, he is unquestionably the one to beat. Missing all of '06 would be a huge black mark but he answered any questions about his physical condition in the Appleton, running a troubled second to Silver Tree who on talent alone is better than anyone else in here. Ramsgate is also a must use for obvious reasons; and the "most likeliest" winner outside of Midnight Lute. Ryan's for Real may or may not be for real; running a super 2nd to multiple G1 winner Silver Wagon at that guy's ideal distance/setup after dueling on the front end gives me hope that at 12-1 or higher he IS for real. Gin and Sin is a cut below these, but might be a good exotics add. Silent Name will likely take more action then I'd be interested in from a standalone race basis but I will not let him beat me in multirace wagers. I have no interest in the remaining group.

R9: Not much to discuss here that isn't already known; punch the 4 and 7 in multirace wagers and enjoy the battle. I can make a case for Zanjero and Dominican underneath but would be hard pressed to have them on top.

R10: Coming off the turf may be beneficial from a perspective of doping out this race. I will be using the 1 prominently, with the 4,7,8 as well. Has Kee Poly experience and success, and turns back off a marathon with a couple nice breezes in between that should sharpen her up.

P6 play:
4,10,11/2/8,9/4,5,7/4,7/1 $72
4,10,11/2/2,3,5/4,5,7/4,7/1 $108
4,10,11/2/8,9/6,8,10/4,7/1 $72

Total cost: $252

P4 play:
2,3,5,8,9/4,5,7/4,7/1,4,7,8 $120
2,3,5,8,9/4,5,6,7,8,10/4,7/1 $60

Total cost: $180 for $1

Another day, another brutal loss. That's 2 p4's busted by a nose in a row. I can't win anywhere these days.

[Sightseek]

Originally Posted by philcski

Another day, another brutal loss. That's 2 p4's busted by a nose in a row. I can't win anywhere these days.

I caught your Pletcher disease!!!

[philcski]

Originally Posted by Sightseek

I caught your Pletcher disease!!!

Pletcher didn't beat me today... Keeneland did.
And the sad thing is I thought Dominican had a chance, but got cheap on the ticket because I figured if SS or GH had won it would be throwing money away. Of course, my single in the last won, just to kick me in the nuts!