Tampa Pick 4/Saturday

[GPK]

Originally Posted by GPK

Proctor is unreal Scuds.

42% winners at the meet (40 starters)
30% 2nd off 45-180 (43 starters)
27% won last start (55 starters)
27% turf (154 starters)
26% routes (198 starters)
35% allowance (79 starters)
Proctor/Lezcano 58% from 19 starters with an ROI of $4.21

mindboggling...

Scuds....all those stats make it even more unreal when you caught her last week as your single at 7-1. I think your handicapping ability goes largely unnoticed here.

[SCUDSBROTHER]

Originally Posted by GPK

Scuds....all those stats make it even more unreal when you caught her last week as your single at 7-1. I think your handicapping ability goes largely unnoticed here.

The only thing I did differently that day is not get a form.Went deep in 1st leg(8th,)and got the price.Then Proctor had horses in the next 2 races.I already had a poor paying p4 ending with the Proctor in the short field 9th.So,I took the 5 horses I didn't have in the 9th to the Proctor in the last.I had no idea what Travois' past performances were.For $25 she keyed about a $750/1 p3.Good thing I don't bet much,because I haven't done all that much since she won.I will though.If I struggle,then I start betting less.I think most people bet more(don't know why.)

[GPK]

Originally Posted by SCUDSBROTHER

The only thing I did differently that day is not get a form.Went deep in 1st leg(8th,)and got the price.Then Proctor had horses in the next 2 races.I already had a poor paying p4 ending with the Proctor in the short field 9th.So,I took the 5 horses I didn't have in the 9th to the Proctor in the last.I had no idea what Travois' past performances were.For $25 she keyed about a $750/1 p3.Good thing I don't bet much,because I haven't done all that much since she won.I will though.If I struggle,then I start betting less.I think most people bet more(don't know why.)

because the great majority of gamblers "chase" their losses.

[SCUDSBROTHER]

Originally Posted by GPK

because the great majority of gamblers "chase" their losses.

I did that for about 10-15 years...LOL....It is much harder to avoid chasing at the track,or VEGAS,OTB etc. It is much easier to avoid chasing from home. When you are at these places,a lot of people are losing.That is a classic situation of misery loves company.I changed to mainly multi-race betting. It is a less intense way to bet.If you have a bad day at win betting,you are pretty much roadkill.

[GPK]

Originally Posted by SCUDSBROTHER

I did that for about 10-15 years...LOL....It is much harder to avoid chasing at the track,or VEGAS,OTB etc. It is much easier to avoid chasing from home. When you are at these places,a lot of people are losing.That is a classic situation of misery loves company.

LOL....no easier place to chase than Vegas. Even when you are winning, you still think about making more.

I have been to Vegas about 6-7 times and even when I am winning...and quit for a few hours...the thought of going back to win more is always in the back of my mind. Where as, if I am at the OTB and I am winning...it is TONS easier to walk out.

[golfer]

I didn't handicap the race, but if I remember correctly, the 5 horse in the 11th race, Can't Spell, was a victim of strangulation in his last race (J Ferrer). Maybe someone can take a look at it. If this is the horse I think it is, he was hard held not only throughout the first 3 quarters on the rail, but through the stretch as well (something you don't see very often). We're not talking longshot here, but might be a nice play today.

[GPK]

Originally Posted by golfer

I didn't handicap the race, but if I remember correctly, the 5 horse in the 11th race, Can't Spell, was a victim of strangulation in his last race (J Ferrer). Maybe someone can take a look at it. If this is the horse I think it is, he was hard held not only throughout the first 3 quarters on the rail, but through the stretch as well (something you don't see very often). We're not talking longshot here, but might be a nice play today.

golfer....I don't need to look. If you say Strangle and Ferrer in the same sentence, I will believe you. I dont call him "the choke" for nothing. If there is a jock switch, the "ferrer off" angle is ALWAYS live.

[GPK]

Originally Posted by golfer

I didn't handicap the race, but if I remember correctly, the 5 horse in the 11th race, Can't Spell, was a victim of strangulation in his last race (J Ferrer). Maybe someone can take a look at it. If this is the horse I think it is, he was hard held not only throughout the first 3 quarters on the rail, but through the stretch as well (something you don't see very often). We're not talking longshot here, but might be a nice play today.

Good call on that. Didn't win, but got a better trip than last. Still had to wait a second or two behind the dying 6 horse, before finding room on the rail. Pedro gives the winner a completely different ride than he has been giving him. Rated nicely and gave one strong middle move.