Chantal just doesn't get it

[philcski]

Case in point: Aqu R2. The rail is obviously the place to be AGAIN, and her hoss Miss Annie M is moving very well on the turn at 9-1 tracking the even money favorite. A hole opens up coming off the turn yet she decides to go 3-4 wide and loses by a quarter length.

Sounds like she's taking advice from her boyfriend Six Wide Smitty.

Originally Posted by philcski

Case in point: Aqu R2. The rail is obviously the place to be AGAIN, and her hoss Miss Annie M is moving very well on the turn at 9-1 tracking the even money favorite. A hole opens up coming off the turn yet she decides to go 3-4 wide and loses by a quarter length.

Sounds like she's taking advice from her boyfriend Six Wide Smitty.

I can never understand this. How does one figure there's a speed bias on the rail, after only 1 or 2 races? I know its the Inner, but still?

[blackthroatedwind]

Originally Posted by Grits

I can never understand this. How does one figure there's a speed bias on the rail, after only 1 or 2 races? I know its the Inner, but still?

There has been an outlandish bias for the better part of the meet and certainly the last week plus of racing. It is their job to know.

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

There has been an outlandish bias for the better part of the meet and certainly the last week plus of racing. It is their job to know.

Thank you BTW. I understand the speed on the Inner. I've not watched it at all in the last 2 or 3 weeks though--haven't paid any attention to NY. I tired of the shoe info, though its valuable I'm sure.

[philcski]

Originally Posted by Grits

Thank you BTW. I understand the speed on the Inner. I've not watched it at all in the last 2 or 3 weeks though--haven't paid any attention to NY. I tired of the shoe info, though its valuable I'm sure.

If you're handicapping a new day and there was a bias evident the previous day (or in this case... basically the whole meet) you work under the assumption that it's still there, and the first race of the day indicated it had continued as the horse who hustled out of the gate, got to the rail, and won for fun despite not really being much better than anyone else in the field.

I like your acronym name, that's clever!

Thank you PhilC. Things don't change much on the speed favoring Inner.

[philcski]

Originally Posted by Grits

Thank you PhilC. Things don't change much on the speed favoring Inner.

Nope, and the 8th race (the Busher stakes) was a classic example. The 3 had run extremely well against the bias in her last on Jan 21 to break her maiden, then this time around the very alert CC Lopez hustled her out of the gate, grabbed the rail and a huge lead, and got home at 10-1. Some jocks get it, some don't. CC gets it.