Santa Anita - Wed 2/14

[Scav]

Originally Posted by Rootdog1

thanks for the detailed analysis Scavs, very nice....and I agree with you on Dynamatic but I would of liked to see her going 1 mile for her first two turn experience and then moving up to 9f, but she has the running style and breeding to love the distance. I am interested in the #1 Mabadi which is the Shulman GB import. Her race in Sept looks impressive and CNak takes the call. May need more ground but at 12-1 she is worth a play. Believe it or not, I also will use the #2 The King's Lass at 12-1 as well, as her last race at 1 mile is just too short for her and had a 3 wide/5 wide trip....and again 12-1. So I am using the 1,2,7,8. Not interested at all in White Aura and Fun Logic.

I already put the 1 horse in my stable to bet next out, not a fan of shulman with this type of situation, he seems to throw them out there first out to see what he has, listens to jock and I play them back when the jock rides his horses back.....

[Rootdog1]

already have a pk3 sequence I like by sandwiching the 5th which i think could deliver a price....

4) 1,4
5) 9,10,11,12,14,15
6) 6
$12

4) 4
5) 9,10,11,12,14,15
6) 4,6
$12

Obviously will not be able to use all the above in the 5th for the pk4 but I am still working on the ticket. The 8th looks tough as well.

[Rootdog1]

Also, Shulman does only win at about an 11% clip with these shippers first time out, but has a fat +6.89 ROI on this move. Usually he brings them in off the plane runs them using the race more as a workout, but Mabadi does have 6 works so maybe. Obviously it is a value play at 12-1, as the Frankel filly will be even money.

[Scav]

Watch out for Carla in this race. Carla's horse should get a great trip in this race. I can never bet any of Glen Stute's horses, he just seems too needy for money and rushs the crap out of horses. I also don't think there is enough speed for Cobalt Blue, could be nice as the 1 will probably be 4/5. Unless he freaks, which is possible (I think you would have seen him earlier if he was going to the TC though) then this horse has a great shot at 4/1 or better

[Scav]

Race 2:

1,4/4,6/4,5,6 $12, play it a couple times.....

[pick4]

Originally Posted by Scav

Watch out for Carla in this race. Carla's horse should get a great trip in this race. I can never bet any of Glen Stute's horses, he just seems too needy for money and rushs the crap out of horses. I also don't think there is enough speed for Cobalt Blue, could be nice as the 1 will probably be 4/5. Unless he freaks, which is possible (I think you would have seen him earlier if he was going to the TC though) then this horse has a great shot at 4/1 or better

I just realized that I am touting the chalk but Can This Be True looks like he'll jump right out of the gate and wire this field. He won't be racing against 21 2/5, 43 4/5 pace here.

[Scav]

Originally Posted by pick4

I just realized that I am touting the chalk but Can This Be True looks like he'll jump right out of the gate and wire this field. He won't be racing against 21 2/5, 43 4/5 pace here.

Stute couldn't train a cat, that horse was gutted from his MSW two back, then he ships to FL, and then runs back in 20 days, then ships back to California, and works him in 46

While I agree with you that he is speed, Carla's horse will be right there and will hopefully blow right by him, I see G.Stute's horse as a fading 3rd....

The beauty of racing, we all have our opinions.......Good luck

[pick4]

Originally Posted by Scav

Stute couldn't train a cat, that horse was gutted from his MSW two back, then he ships to FL, and then runs back in 20 days, then ships back to California, and works him in 46

While I agree with you that he is speed, Carla's horse will be right there and will hopefully blow right by him, I see G.Stute's horse as a fading 3rd....

The beauty of racing, we all have our opinions.......Good luck

The turn around is quick from a cross country trip. I was looking at the timing of the works. I take the time with a grain of salt. A lot of these times are bogus. I see Street Lights as the only one who can soften him up should Espinoza choose to chalenge him.

[Rootdog1]

Originally Posted by Rootdog1

already have a pk3 sequence I like by sandwiching the 5th which i think could deliver a price....

4) 1,4
5) 8,9,10,11,12,14,15
6) 6
$14

4) 4
5) 8,9,10,11,12,14,15
6) 4,6
$14

Obviously will not be able to use all the above in the 5th for the pk4 but I am still working on the ticket. The 8th looks tough as well.

In addition to above (edited to add the #8 in the 5th)

5)9,10,11,12,14,15
6)4,6
7)1,2,7
8)10
$36

6)3,4,6
7)1,2,7,8
8)3,4,10
$36

5)9,10,11,12,14,15
6)6
7)1,2,7
$18

good luck to all....

[TitanSooner]

late pick 4: ($30)

5: 4 5 8 9 15
6: 3 6
7: 3
8: 3 10 11

Late Pick 4
5,9,12,15
3
2,3,8
2,6,8,10
$48

5
4,6
7
3,5,11
$6