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Old 02-02-2007, 11:48 PM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
Jerome Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 9,938
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Quote:
Originally Posted by brianwspencer
but the point is that i think most of this is moot, because you're relying on the horse of the year -- coming off a win off a huge layoff, losing against a decidedly grade II field, off a layoff again?

i won't be betting tomorrow because i'll be at work, but you can believe that i'd be crafting every single play around invasor tomorrow.
It's sort of two different discussions....opinions on the races versus creating value.

I agree with Scav that if you like Strong Contender you are better off playing the Pick-3 using both NoBiz and Scat Daddy and then some weighted spread in the turf race as he mathematically rates to be a better price in the Pick-3 if for no other reason than the dispersed takeout.
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