7/18: Saratoga (Shuvee; 4th-7th); Del Mar (Opening Day; 7th-10th)

[Kasept]

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: MSW, F&M-3+, 11f-Inner (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Lady Meis 8-1: Has had chances, but moves inside w/ pilot upgrade.. 4th
Next Best: #4 Inesperee 6-1 10th
Exotics Use: #10 Green Jobs 6-1 7th
Super Add: #1 Dimensionality 8-1 3rd


5th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Olivia's Grace 6-1 WON ($5.70)
Next Best: #7 Garden of Grace 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 No Ordinary Love 9-2 2nd
Super Add: #9 Rad Llama 6-1 6th


6th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Cerro Rico 7-2 6th
Next Best: #4 Rock It Rob 4-1 WON ($5.80)
Best Value: #7 Sunday Boy 20-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Pepper J 10-1 3rd


7th: OC/Cond., 3+, 1M-Inner (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Regalo 10-1: Fave formidable, but Russell colt a career best in turf debut.. 8th
Next Best: #5 I'm Very Busy 7-5 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Nantasket Beach 7-2 7th
Super Add: #2 Nelson Avenue 15-1 2nd


P4 Grid:

4: 1-3-4-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 2-3-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 4-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 4-5 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 4x3x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24


8th: Shuvee (G2), F&M-4+, 9f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Prides Crossing 15-1: Brown regularly pops with seemingly ambitious placings.. 5th
Next Best: #5 Raging Sea 1-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Sidamara 10-1 7th
Super Add: #6 Dazzling Move 5-2 2nd


9th: OC/N1X, 3yo, 8.5f-T (DD)

Premium quality group with about half the set eligible for laurels..

Best Value: #6 Strate Cash 6-1 10th
Next Best: #7 King of Ashes 9-2 9th
Exotics Use: #1 Asbury Park 9-5 6th
Super Add: #4 Fond Farewell 8-1 5th


10th: NY-MCLM/$50k, F&M-3+, 1m-Inner

Best Value: #8 Artistic Success 5-1 WON ($5.90)
Next Best: #6 Fire Agate 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Lucy Playa 8-1 7th
Super Add: #4 Princess Summer 5-1 3rd


P5 Grid:

6: 4-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 4-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 4-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 6-7 (A), 1-4 (B), - (C)
10: 6-8 (A), 1-4 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x2x2x4x4 = 128 x .50 = $64
All A's: 2x2x2x2x2 = 32 x .50 = $16


P4 Grid:

7: 4-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 1-4-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 6-7 (A), 1-4 (B), - (C)
10: 6-8 (A), 1-4 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x4x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x3x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12



DEL MAR


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: MSW, 3+, 6.5f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Lannister 5-2: Not This Time from Baffert besting Barnes in the morning.. 6th
Best Value: #1 Legal Heir 8-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Vasa 5-1 WON ($13.00)
Exotics Use: #6 Brother Brother 4-1 7th


6th: OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Dandy Man Shines 5-1 8th
Next Best: #11 Eye On Ry 9-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Genius Jimmy 7-2 WON ($5.60)
Super Add: #9 Cathal 8-1 7th


7th: CA-MSW, 2yo, 5f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Mustang Knicky 6-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Druliner 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Cara Rose 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #9 Lino's Angel 15-1 WON ($45.40)


8th: Oceanside-R, 3yo, 1m-T ($3 Late P3, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Iron Man Cal 9-5: Logical, yes, but doesn't 'have' to win.. 2nd
Best Value: #10 Bodi Zafa 15-1 9th
Next Best: #7 Game Warrior 8-1 WON ($40.60)
Exotics Use: #2 Incanto 15-1 7th


$3 Late P3 Grid:

8: 3-7-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 4-5-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 2-6 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 3x3x2 = 18 x $3 = $54


9th: CA-OC/N1X, 3+, 6f ($5 Late DD)

Most Likely: #4 The G M 5-2 6th
Next Best: #8 Letmein 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Minister Shane 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #10 Pokerknightatvees 6-1 WON ($9.20)


$5 Late DD Grid:

9: 4-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 2-6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 2x3 = 6 x $5 = $30


10th: MSW, F&M-3+, 1m-T (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #6 Lady Chic 3-1 8th
Next Best: #2 Nafisa 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #7 Ribbons 15-1 WON ($59.40)
Exotics Use: #12 Auntie 10-1 12th


P5 Grid:

6: 5-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 4 (A), 5 (B), - (C)
8: 3-7-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 4-8 (A), 5-10 (B), - (C)
10: 2-6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x2x3x4x3 =144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x1x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18


P4 Grid:

7: 4 (A), 5 (B), - (C)
8: 3-7-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 4-8 (A), 5-10 (B), - (C)
10: 2-6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x4x3 =72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 1x3x2x3 = 18 x .50 = $9


Let's get lucky!
Steve

[knickslions2]

I’ll fill in that winner in 7th at Delmar for you

Mustang Knicky

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by knickslions2

I’ll fill in that winner in 7th at Delmar for you

Mustang Knicky

100% agree.. it's after that I'm stymied..

[Kasept]

SAR SCR/CHG'S

[knickslions2]

Originally Posted by Kasept

100% agree.. it's after that I'm stymied..

Ya I’m going to single Mustang as after that you need a lot to cover. Think 2 and 13 are good looking first time starters. 5 should be better second time out and favorite although looks like turf horse to me ran much better on dirt debut. Fun card today. GL

[atolunch]

Thanks and good luck as always!

Please check your numbers in the verticals at Del Mar 9th. Think you want 4,5,8,10 and not 3, 4, 6, 8 as listed

[knickslions2]

This **** is brutal sometimes had that 9 there

[knickslions2]

I’m jumping on this 9 in Delmar 6

[ADJMK]

Heck of a handicapping job at DMR Steve.
You had every winner in your selections.
Tried to put a few multis together but unfortunately keyed the wrong races

[ADJMK]

I don't think you are going to see Demuro pay $59 too often.
For those of you that don't know , he is world class

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by ADJMK

Heck of a handicapping job at DMR Steve.
You had every winner in your selections. Tried to put a few multis together but unfortunately keyed the wrong races

THX. For whatever reason, I've always done well on DMR opening day. Had a good enough feel today and did OK, but left stacks of cash on the table (especially the $3 P3).

[moses]

Steve, the payouts for some of those horses are incredible! Nice job highlighting some of those longshots. The late pick 4 paid $25,000.