11/4 (SA): 40th Breeders' Cup ~ Saturday

[Kasept]

SANTA ANITA: 40TH BREEDERS' CUP ~ SATURDAY


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: TAA Marathon (G2), 3+, 13f (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Speaking of aftercare, may be time to retire this event..

Most Likely: #5 Salesman 5-2 WON ($8.60)
Best Value: #6 Kiss Today Goodbye 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Siskany 8-5 5th


2nd: Twilight Derby (G2), 3yo, 9f-T (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Really fun, interesting group..

Best Value: #8 Amandares 8-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Webslinger 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Be Your Best 12-1 8th
Super Add: #3 Reincarnate 8-1 9th


3rd: BC Dirt Mile (G1), 3+, 1m (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Zozos has some steam with expectation that he'll be loose up front, but Cody's Wish has been on edge here every morning..

Most Likely: #3 Cody's Wish 9-5 WON ($3.60)
Next Best: #4 Zozos 6-1 5th
Best Value: #1 Stage Raider 15-1 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Skippylongstocking 12-1 3rd


4th: BC Filly & Mare Turf (G1), F&M-3+, 10f-T (All Turf P4, P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Like Friday with Hard to Justify & She Feels Pretty, hoping top pair is enough to get through the leg..

Most Likely: #6 Inspiral 5-2 WON ($7.00)
Next Best: #1 In Italian 4-1 5th
Best Value: #12 State Occasion 20-1 9th ~ Reverse Tri Key
Exotics Use: #4 Moira 12-1 4th
Super Add: #7 Lindy 12-1 8th
.50 REV TRI KEY: 1-2-3-4-6-7-8-9 w/ 1-2-3-4-6-7-8-9 w/ 12 = 8x7x1 = 56 x .50 = $28


All Turf P4 Grid:

4: 1-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 3-10-13 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 5-11-13 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 10-12 (A), 5-8-11 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x3x5 = 90 x .50 = $45
All A's: 2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18


5th: BC Filly & Mare Sprint (G1), F&M-3+, 7f (All Dirt P4, P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Society steps in and up for Asmussen and while Goodnight Olive would be no surprise, repeating in this event has proven difficult (except for Groupie Doll)..

Most Likely: #7 Society 5-2 4th
Next Best: #1 Goodnight Olive 6-5 WON ($4.20)
Exotics Use: #4 Matareya 6-1 8th
Super Add: #5 Kirstenbosch 10-1 5th


All Dirt P4 Grid:

5: 1-4-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 4-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 2-3 (A), 8-12 (B), - (C)
11: 2-7-8 (A), 6-9 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x4x5 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 3x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

$0.50 Pick 4 () Paid $50.40


P5 Grid:

1: 1-5 (A), 3-6 (B), - (C)
2: 6-8 (A), 2-3 (B), - (C)
3: 3 (A), - (B), 4 (C)
4: 1-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 1-4-7 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x1x2x3 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x2x1x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (A-A-C-A-A): 2x2x1x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12 (4 in 3rd)


P4 Grid:

2: 6-8 (A), 2-3 (B), - (C)
3: 3 (A), - (B), 4 (C)
4: 1-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 1-4-7 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x1x2x3 = 24 x $1.50 = $36
All A's: 2x1x2x3 = $12
Backup (A-C-A-A): 2x1x2x3 = $12 (4 in 3rd)


6th: BC Mile (G1), 3+, 1m-T (Pick 6, P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Songline is thought of as Japan's best chance on the weekend and she is stunning ibn the flesh. Casa Creed takes another shot though and is going to get a potentially perfect scenario for a successful run with Saez..

Most Likely: #3 Casa Creed 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #10 Songline 5-2 5th
Best Value: #13 More Than Looks 15-1 6th ~ Reverse Tri Key
Exotics Use: #2 Gina Romantica 12-1 4th
Super/Hi-5: #11 Kelina 6-1 9th

.50 REV TRI KEY: 3-10 w/ All w/ 8-13 = 2 x 12 x 2 = 48 x .50 = $24


7th: BC Distaff, F&M-3+, 9f (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Top 2 feel most likely, but Adare Manor has looked tremendous and Desert Dawn feels like this year's version of Blue Stripe..

Most Likely: #9 Clairiere 4-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Idiomatic 5-2 WON ($5.60)
Best Value: #10 Desert Dawn 20-1 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Adare Manor 4-1 7th
Super Add: #11 Le Da Vida 20-1 3rd


P5 Grid:

3: 3 (A), 4 (B), - (C)
4: 1-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 1-4-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 3-10 (A), - (B), 2-13 (C)
7: 4-5-9-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x2x3x2x4 = 96 x .50 = 48 x $1.50 = $72
All A's: 1x2x3x2x4 = 48 x .50 = $24
Backup (A-A-A-C-A): 1x2x3x2x4 = 48 x .50 = $24 (2-13 in 6th)


P4 Grid:

4: 1-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 1-4-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 3-10 (A), - (B), 2-13 (C)
7: 4-5-9-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 2x3x2x4 = $48 ($24 for .50)
Backup (A-A-C-A): 2x3x2x4 = 48 x .50 = $24 (2-13 in 6th)


8th: BC Turf, 3+, 12f-T (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

King of Steel the best price of the Euro players, but War like Goddess is going to get her table setting and make one run that scores..

Best Value: #13 War Like Goddess 12-1 7th
Next Best: #11 King of Steel 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Auguste Rodin 3-1 WON ($9.00)
Super Add: #9 Mostahdaf 5-2 8th
Hi-5 Play: #2 Onesto 8-1 6th


2-day Juvy Turf/Turf DBL:

FRI 9: 6-8-9
SAT 8: 2-5-9-11-13

All A's: 3x5 = 15 x $5 = $75

$1 JUV TURF/TURF Paid $11.50 x 5 = $57.50


P4 Grid:

5: 1-4-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 3-10 (A), - (B), 2-13 (C)
7: 4-5-9-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 11-13 (A), 2-5-9 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x4x5 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 3x2x4x2 = 48 x .50 = $24
Backup (A-C-A-A): 3x2x4x2 = 48 x .50 = $24 (2-13 in 6th)


9th: BC Classic (G1), 3+, 10f (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Top 4 all look eligible for laurels, but White Abarrio wins with repeat of Whitney and has sparkled coming in to assignment. Zandon always runs his race. Ushba Tesoro is a bruiser that would be no surprise. Arabian Knight has been on tilt leading up to today. No stars, just talent..

Most Likely: #3 White Aborrio 4-1 WON ($7.20)
Best Value: #2 Zandon 12-1 9th
Next Best: #8 Ushba Teroro 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #12 Arabian Knight 3-1 4th
Super Add: #13 Proxy 12-1 3rd


P4 Grid:

6: 3-10 (A), 2-13 (B), - (C)
7: 4-5-9-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 11-13 (A), - (B), 2-5-9 (C)
9: 2-3 (A), 8-12 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x2x4 = 128 x .50 = $64
All A's: 3x2x4x2 = 48 x .50 = $24
Backup (A-C-A-A): 3x2x4x2 = 48 x .50 = $24 (2-13 in 6th)


10th: BC Turf Sprint (G1), 3+, 5f-T (DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #10 Motorious 5-1 5th
Next Best: #12 Arzak 6-1 6th
Best Value: #8 Aesop's Fable 12-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Live In The Dream 9-2 4th
Super Add: #11 Jasper Krone 12-1 12th


11th: BC Sprint (G1), 3+, 6f (DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #2 Dr. Schivel 5-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Elite Power 9-5 WON ($5.40)
Exotics Use: #7 Speed Boat Beach 3-1 4th
Super Add: #6 The Chosen Vron 5-1 5th


P5 Grid:

7: 4-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 5-11-13 (A), - (B), 2-9 (C)
9: 3 (A), 2-8-12 (B), - (C)
10: 8-10-12 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 2-8 (A), - (B), 6-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x4x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x3x1x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (A-C-A-A-A): 2x2x1x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 (2-9 in 8th)
Backup (A-A-A-A-C): 2x3x1x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (6-7 in 11th)


P4 Grid:

8: 5-11-13 (A), - (B), 2-9 (C)
9: 2-3 (A), 8-12 (B), - (C)
10: 8-10-12 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 2-8 (A), 6-7 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (C-A-A-A): 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 (2-9 in 8th)


12th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6.5f-Downhill (Hi-5)

Best Value: #5 Alvina 8-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Irish Patsy 5-1 10th
Exotics Use: #7 Gem Mine 7-2 4th
Super Add: #8 Real Fire 6-1 5th


P4 Grid:

9: 2-3 (A), 8-12 (B), - (C)
10: 8-10-12 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 2-8 (A), 6-7 (B), - (C)
12: 3-5 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x4x2 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x3x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12


Good luck!
Steve

[Kasept]

SATURDAY SCR's

R 1. Scratch 1
R 3. Scratch 2, 7
R 6. Scratch. 12
R 7. Scratch. 2 3
R 8. Scratch. 4 6
R 9. Scratch 1
R 10. Scratch 2 13 15 16
R 11. Scratch. 3
R 12. Scratch. 9 12 13

[jms62]

Pratt was whipping with Left hand and came over like 3 paths... No way they DQ here

[jms62]

Great job Steve thanks for all the work. Ramen on me this year.

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by jms62

Great job Steve thanks for all the work. Ramen on me this year.

THX Jim! Hope you, and everybody, got something to use successfully out of the coverage..