Two at Toga (2023)

[theguarantee]

Nothing clever after all the scratches and pressed for time today:

Best Bet: Race 11 - #8 Sweetest Princess 7/2 - Seems like a match race and hoping the public gravitates to the obvious dirt form of Ghostly Girl. Just think Sweetest is a better/improving horse who can handle dirt well enough to beat these.
Best Value: Race 8 - #2 Carl Spackler 3/1 - Hated the last trip, love the draw today, think he rolls.

[moses]

Why was Night Time 5 wide around the turn? Don’t think it mattered but had no shot going that wide.

[moses]

In this maiden race, the 8 physically looks very good but seems a bit worked up. I also liked the 3 but not loving how that horse is warming up.

Those were my top options to beat the 10 but not sure now. I may take a swing on Katie Davis’s 9 horse and box her in some exactas and trifectas.

[moses]

Well I was way off.

[jms62]

Originally Posted by moses

In this maiden race, the 8 physically looks very good but seems a bit worked up. I also liked the 3 but not loving how that horse is warming up.

Those were my top options to beat the 10 but not sure now. I may take a swing on Katie Davis’s 9 horse and box her in some exactas and trifectas.

Think we keep an eye on the 8 next out. Wasn't asked to do much at the end when it was clear that Trust Fund was the one to beat.

[moses]

Originally Posted by jms62

Think we keep an eye on the 8 next out. Wasn't asked to do much at the end when it was clear that Trust Fund was the one to beat.

Agreed.

Posting my picks for tomorrow. Not sure how much I’ll be around.

First bet: Race 5 - #2 Chaperone 8/1.
Second bet: Race 6 - #11 Richie’s Princess 7/2.

[theguarantee]

Best Bet: Race 11: #2 Waterville 7/2 - tried this one earlier in the meet expecting improvement and got it but just had too much work to do in the stretch. Likes the inner, is getting better and Rosario gets an extra 1/16th to hopefully get the job done today.

Best Value: Race 7 - #4 Love Appeals 6/1 - I was between Redefined and Love Appeals in here and think either or if not both will offer value. It’s possible that Love Reigns will just prove too good and I’ve been a big fan of hers but surely this couldn’t have been the plan. Redefines has some nice races to get back to and isn’t fair off her if improved and ready to go today. I ultimately decided I wanted to go with Love Appeals however. I thought her debut was excellent and portended big things to come. The second race things didn’t go right and she really excelled when cutting back to what I think she really wants to do - sprint. I thought she was tons the best down at Monmouth in a race I’m not sure they really wanted to run in but Flo took her a bit further back than needed in my opinion. Like the switch back to Manny today. Draws nice and he should be able to get her into a nice spot and she possesses some real kick in the lane when getting her trip.

Good luck.

[moses]

Richie’s princess won.

$176.00 wagered
$204.50 returned

I didn’t have a lot of time today.

First: Race 6 - #9 Lady Prospect 6/1
Second: Race 8 - #8 Whittington Park 5/1

[theguarantee]

Coppa Girl ran just OK paying $4.90 to place. know it all Audrey ran valiant setting a hot pace going too long, would look for on a cutback.

Le Dom Bro won at preposterously low odds.

CarL Spackler got the right trip and didn't exactly roll as I expected but was an impressive winner. Sweetest Princess had every chance and just flattened late.

Picks since then have been awful with the exception of Kosuke who Jose sent on a suicide mission today and might still have some ability.