Saratoga Two a Day

[Dahoss]

Day 10
Another day where I'm not too fond of the card. Treading lighty

Best bet: Race 4- #4 Kimari
This one will be carrying a lot of weight as I see quite a few people like her, but I just think she makes the most sense. bella Sofia is a really nice filly, but she does not appear to be the same horse this year as last, Rudy is winless so far and she should get some pace pressure from the 3. I think Kimari sits the perfect trip right off them and she's had some excuses her last two.

Longshot: Race 10- #8 Dover Dreams
Faced some good ones last year and did not disgrace herself. This race is SUPER tough but there is a lot of speed signed on and even though this one leaves the Chad Brown barn, Brendan Walsh is no slouch. Expect her to be coming late and any kind pf improvement from last year puts her there. She won't be 12-1, but would take half of that

[Dahoss]

Originally Posted by Dahoss

Day 10
Another day where I'm not too fond of the card. Treading lighty

Best bet: Race 4- #4 Kimari
This one will be carrying a lot of weight as I see quite a few people like her, but I just think she makes the most sense. bella Sofia is a really nice filly, but she does not appear to be the same horse this year as last, Rudy is winless so far and she should get some pace pressure from the 3. I think Kimari sits the perfect trip right off them and she's had some excuses her last two.

Longshot: Race 10- #8 Dover Dreams
Faced some good ones last year and did not disgrace herself. This race is SUPER tough but there is a lot of speed signed on and even though this one leaves the Chad Brown barn, Brendan Walsh is no slouch. Expect her to be coming late and any kind pf improvement from last year puts her there. She won't be 12-1, but would take half of that

Bella Sofia was indeed vulnerable and Kimari got a nice ride, nailing Frank's Rockette late paying $8.10 and $4.50. Dover Dreams wants longer, was far back, put in a nice late run to get up for 5th. Tab for later in the meet going two turns?

Meet totals
$80 wagered
$92.30 returned

[Dahoss]

Day 11
Weather may be an issue, hopefully the rain holds off.

Best bet: Race 4- #3 Two for Charging
Looked like he needed a race in his debut where he showed little speed and put in a nice run for 3rd. Last time he broke on top and was right on a pace that fell apart. Seems to be working well and I think Prat works out a good trip for this one.

Longshot: Race 7- #6 Thin White Duke (turf only)
This one has ran well sprinting earlier in his career. I think he ran into a good one last time and I like the cutback. Donk barn still going well and I think he gets lost on the board.

[Dahoss]

Originally Posted by Dahoss

Day 11
Weather may be an issue, hopefully the rain holds off.

Best bet: Race 4- #3 Two for Charging
Looked like he needed a race in his debut where he showed little speed and put in a nice run for 3rd. Last time he broke on top and was right on a pace that fell apart. Seems to be working well and I think Prat works out a good trip for this one.

Longshot: Race 7- #6 Thin White Duke (turf only)
This one has ran well sprinting earlier in his career. I think he ran into a good one last time and I like the cutback. Donk barn still going well and I think he gets lost on the board.

Two for Charging showed the debut was no fluke, coming off the pace to run down the favorite, paying $16 and $6.60. Thin White Duke ran a much improved race, closing fast to be second behind a horse who is probably heading for stakes, and paid $5.70 to place

Meet totals
$88 wagered
$120.60 returned

[Dahoss]

Day 12
Another day where I struggled with the card.

Best bet: Race 8- #5 Anaconda
This horse has teased with some big ability at times. His debut was strong, they tried him two turns, back to sprinting and then he was off for 13 months. His return this January was very good, then they stretched him back out where he ran a decent 3rd behind the eventual SF Mile winner. Went down the hill after that, got a very passive ride early and then put in a good late run. Another passive ride last time and again put in a decent run. Was a private purchase after his last and ends up in a very shrewd barn who adds blinkers. I think we see the good Anaconda today.

Longshot: Race 5- #7 Sebaray
I know Sweeping Giant towers over this field on paper but this seems like such a questionable drop. They paid $350k for him, he ran back to back seconds in his first two and then had trouble in a stake. Why show up today for 40k? I'm going with Sebaray. He ran much better first time in the Ray Handal barn than he had shown for Marya Montoya and was meant for turf that day. Plenty of grass pedigree on the dam side as she has produced a few turf winners including a stakes winner and stakes placed horse. Would like to see Dylan Davis aggressive early with him and should be a very fair price.

[Dahoss]

Originally Posted by Dahoss

Day 12
Another day where I struggled with the card.

Best bet: Race 8- #5 Anaconda
This horse has teased with some big ability at times. His debut was strong, they tried him two turns, back to sprinting and then he was off for 13 months. His return this January was very good, then they stretched him back out where he ran a decent 3rd behind the eventual SF Mile winner. Went down the hill after that, got a very passive ride early and then put in a good late run. Another passive ride last time and again put in a decent run. Was a private purchase after his last and ends up in a very shrewd barn who adds blinkers. I think we see the good Anaconda today.

Longshot: Race 5- #7 Sebaray
I know Sweeping Giant towers over this field on paper but this seems like such a questionable drop. They paid $350k for him, he ran back to back seconds in his first two and then had trouble in a stake. Why show up today for 40k? I'm going with Sebaray. He ran much better first time in the Ray Handal barn than he had shown for Marya Montoya and was meant for turf that day. Plenty of grass pedigree on the dam side as she has produced a few turf winners including a stakes winner and stakes placed horse. Would like to see Dylan Davis aggressive early with him and should be a very fair price.

Anaconda was horrible. Slow early and never involved. I couldn't have had the winner anyway. Sebaray ran a decent third. Maybe a more aggressive ride and he's second, but was never beating the winner.

Meet totals
$96 Wagered
$120.60 returned

[Dahoss]

Day 13
Another very difficult day, but fantastic betting card

Best bet: Race 10- #3 Orchestration
I know a lot of people are going to gravitate towards Capensis for good reason. he was super impressive in his debut, validating the hefty purchase price. I have no real knock against him, but I want to see him do it again and the post is no bargain. I thought Orchestration looked like a runner with a nice future last year. Not the best ride in his debut, broke maiden here and then was sawed off at Keeneland when he was really moving well. Layoff a concern obviously but should be a rare Chad Brown/Irad horse that isn't overbet.

Longshot: Race 5- #7 Big Bobby
By no means am I in love with this horse, but I thought this was a race full of speed and wanted to take a runner who I thought would be coming late. Total no show in return, but good to see no dramatic drop and he's improved in his second start off the break each time he has had a layoff. Will be every bit of his 10-1 ML and if he can still run at all, should get conditions suited for him