1/6: Gulfstream Park

[Unbridled]

Originally Posted by Scav

Race 5

This is one hell of a race, I can find about 7 horses that I could argue. That being said, the two horses that I will be talking about #2 Green Secret and #6 Touch a Prince.

#2 Green Secret(5/1ML) is a KMc trainee that brings a typical MSW win 1st out work pattern for a STRONG 1st out trainer. Darley homebred could make some noise on 'da Trail'

I like Green Secret as well, but I think he might end being better on the turf. If he doesnt run well on the dirt, look out for him on the turf.

[Sightseek]

Race 3
7 Bedford Falls
2 Blotto
6 Ultimate

Race 4
5 Lifestyle
1 Bridled Quest
7 Nar - Won

Race 5
11 Huffman
8 Baltic
7 Texas Billy Boy
7 Vamanos

Pick 3
7
5, 1, 7
11, 8, 4, 7.....ticket was a brutal failure, with only Nar

Race 6
6 Bless You
10 Dyna's Gold Legend
3 Diamond Spirit
Longshot bet #9 Motion stretch-out, blinkers off 20-1ML

Race 7
2 Mach Ride
6 Slam Bammy
8 Kelly's Landing - Won
4 Hither Lane
2/6,8,4
6/2,8,4

Race 8
2 Ballast
6 Classic Campaign - Won
10 Old Dodge

Race 9
3 Sweetnorthernsaint
9 Sir Greeley
5 Chatain - Won
6 Strong Contender

Race 10
7 Cresson
8 Grand
11 Everything to Gain - Won

Pick 4
2,6,8
2,6,10
3
7,8,11

[King Glorious]

I like Strong Contender with Chatain and Istan in the exacta and tri boxes. Forgot my boy Indy Wind.

Looking at Sweetnorthernsaint, I don't consider the two comeback races and the races before the Gotham. He was obviously the class of those races and could run how he wanted and still win. For a decent look at how he might fit with these, I looked at his four races against graded competition:

Gotham-Was 2 back of a half in 47 3/5 and was 1.5 back of 6f in 1:12 1/5. He was fairly close to the pace but never had the lead. Steadily made ground late but didn't win.

Illinois Derby-Was 1 back of a half in 48 and 1/2 back of 6f in 1:13 before exploding to win the race. Had a lot in the tank (why not after such slow fractions?)

Kentucky Derby-Was 3.5 back after a half in 46 and about the same back of 6f in 1:10 4/5. He ended up tiring badly and losing a lot of ground late.

Preakness-Was 1 back of a half in 46 3/5 and 1/2 back of 6f in 1:10 1/5. He ended up finishing second that day but he was five lengths further back at the finish than he was after 6f meaning he again lost a lot of ground.

My feeling is that when he's allowed to run on very easy paces, he does well. Let him run a 48 or so for the half and still be within a couple of lengths and he's dangerous. But if they go faster, he's in trouble. He's either got to run faster to keep his position, which takes away from his late punch, or he's got to drop back further and try to run down a lot of horses. I don't see him with a chance here today. The half is likely to be in the 45 3/5 to 46 range and there are a few horses that will be contesting it.

[SentToStud]

r 3

expect 6, Ultimate., to run well at 20-1 with 5 mtp

6 win

tri 6/257
257/6/257
and 257/257/6

[estreetposse]

race 3 pk 3
7
467
2-3 10 11
for $3


haven't got a solid run for a from a 6-5 like that in a while
good luck all


-bt-

[SentToStud]

r 4
I'm playing Jabbok here at a good price. He's run against and beaten some decent horses. No way should he be 18-1.

[Bogey]

Desormeaux with another beautiful ride on Beautiful Danielle. As I said before in the Gin and Sin comments, this guy will win at a high % on the GP Lawn.

[Scav]

Originally Posted by Bogey

Desormeaux with another beautiful ride on Beautiful Danielle. As I said before in the Gin and Sin comments, this guy will win at a high % on the GP Lawn.

The one thing I like about Desormeaux is that he doesn't ride scared, he rides to win, he takes risk and I am cool with that fact. I agree about the GP lawn and Kent, 100%

Recap to come later, not at home right now....Looks like we were dead on with West to Durango and Green Secret as far as capping goes...

Played a $8 p4 at gulf 8 / 6,10 / 3569 / 8

alive to a single and what do I do ? DD savers on the 369 with 7, 11 in the last. of course i do nothing with the 5 chatian to save

Why didn't they have a pick 3 for the last 3 races at gulfstream ? I played a small ticket for the p4 and planned to spread out in the final p3, only there wasn't a p3 for r $8 - 10.

All my savers whent down the tubes, wish me luck

[SentToStud]

there's not much you can do. you singled and so just enjoy being right and hope and expect it continues for another 15 minutes. Two fingers of decent scotch a few minutes to post time is my only recommendation.

[brianwspencer]

Originally Posted by point given

Played a $8 p4 at gulf 8 / 6,10 / 3569 / 8

alive to a single and what do I do ? DD savers on the 369 with 7, 11 in the last. of course i do nothing with the 5 chatian to save

Why didn't they have a pick 3 for the last 3 races at gulfstream ? I played a small ticket for the p4 and planned to spread out in the final p3, only there wasn't a p3 for r $8 - 10.

All my savers whent down the tubes, wish me luck

Know how you feel, my friend. I have just really seriously gotten into playing Pick-3 and Pick-4 wagers and hit one of each last Sunday with some very nervous moments just like the one you're in now.

The best you can do is just be happy that you got there and didn't get knocked out earlier -- and enjoy watching the last race.

I know that's shitty advice, because I know exactly how your stomach feels right now if you're looking at a potential nice payoff.

Good luck!

[Sightseek]

Originally Posted by Sightseek

Race 6

Longshot bet #9 Motion stretch-out, blinkers off 20-1ML

grrrrr! I thought she at least held on for 2nd!!

[Sightseek]

Originally Posted by Sightseek

Race 9
3 Sweetnorthernsaint
9 Sir Greeley
5 Chatain
6 Strong Contender

Race 10
7 Cresson
8 Grand
11 Everything to Gain

Pick 4
2,6,8
2,6,10
3
7,8,11

dumb donkey ticket of the day goes to....me!