Real Quiet, I continue to be impressed with your data base and amazed with your ability to draw upon such a vast amount of information. All in all, it demonstrates what a difficult game we are trying to play, where in a good year we are barely able to beat the takeout and overall can't even do that. That should send a sobering message to anyone who thinks that he can "beat" the races on a long term and consistent basis. I do think that you have a better chance by playing tracks with which you are familiar and only on races where you have a very good insight.
In reflecting on my ROI play this past year, I believe that I burned through a large amount of ROI$ on attempts to hit pick 4's, 5's and 6's with very little to show for it. [I'll pass over any comment on NYRA's Grand Slam, which I play just because I keep hoping that someday I can make it come out right]. Other times exotic plays were successful, but in my effort to make sure I "had it", I spread the bet so broadly that the return was less than the win price on my key horse. Perhaps the take out on those exotics is so high to take most of the profit out of the payoff. But, I keep insisting that by trying different wagers in the ROI we learn important lessons that help us at the betting windows.
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11-15-2021, 03:46 PM
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