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  #1  
Old 11-14-2021, 04:26 PM
Dahoss Dahoss is offline
Keeneland
 
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  #2  
Old 11-14-2021, 05:26 PM
freddymo freddymo is offline
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Jerry must have had this one not Jerry Brown but Jerry the SFH 1000 salesmen
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  #3  
Old 11-14-2021, 10:13 PM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
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The horse was utterly impossible no matter how you look at it....and that includes sheets players. He likely freaked on the soft turf. There's no real explanation....other than a ridiculous redboard.
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Old 11-15-2021, 05:34 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind View Post
The horse was utterly impossible no matter how you look at it....and that includes sheets players. He likely freaked on the soft turf. There's no real explanation....other than a ridiculous redboard.
The soft turf answer makes a lot of sense. The point of showing the TG's was that the horse had moved into range of contention last time, as opposed to Foster Brooks on here claiming undetectable drugs.

Here's another piece from TG.. Sire Profile (TGI = Thoro-Graph Index, average fig of progeny by sire at age 2, 3, 4, 5+). Blame progeny keep improving with age (15.5, 11.25, 9.5. 9.25) and this gelding is late in his 4yo year, about to turn 5.

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Old 11-15-2021, 05:36 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
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Here's Mandate's full PP's as well.. One interesting side note to the effort that hasn't been discussed is that it came without Lasix, his first start ever without it.

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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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Old 11-15-2021, 06:05 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
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WO Autumn S (G2): Mighty Heart 91 (Dramedy) J. Carroll/P. Husbands

AQU Winter Memories S: Plum Ali 88 (First Samurai) C. Clement/M. Franco

DMR Bob Hope S (G3): Messier - (Empire Maker) B. Baffert/F. Prat

HAW Lightning Jet S: W W Cookie Monster - (Ghaaleb) S. Becker/V. Santiago
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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  #7  
Old 11-15-2021, 06:50 AM
freddymo freddymo is offline
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Steve, have a heart. Cheating happens. The first step to recovery is admitting you have a problem. That normally happens after you hit rock bottom, like when your wife forgets to buy the Baileys Irish Cream for your morning coffee and you berate her for an hour(not that I have ever done that) or when some ridiculous horse freaks not just wins but runs extraordinary.

Last edited by freddymo : 11-15-2021 at 07:06 AM.
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Old 11-15-2021, 08:27 AM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept View Post
The soft turf answer makes a lot of sense. The point of showing the TG's was that the horse had moved into range of contention last time, as opposed to Foster Brooks on here claiming undetectable drugs.

Here's another piece from TG.. Sire Profile (TGI = Thoro-Graph Index, average fig of progeny by sire at age 2, 3, 4, 5+). Blame progeny keep improving with age (15.5, 11.25, 9.5. 9.25) and this gelding is late in his 4yo year, about to turn 5.

Steve, I'm not sure why you feel a need to exhaustively redboard an impossible horse. The problem with your logic is he didn't sneak into this win, get a great trip and take advantage of poor ones by others, as he had easily the toughest trip of anyone in the race, and drew off to a career defining victory in his second start for this trainer, and not that long after being claimed for $25K from Todd Pletcher.

Maybe he freaked on a soft turf. It certainly wouldn't be the first time that has happened. His three prior races on courses listed as good weren't strong, even arguably worse than his firm turf efforts, but a softer course like the one on Saturday may well have been much different and to his liking. Regardless, this is an inexplicable effort. To each their own, but I don't believe there is any logical handicapping argument for him, even after the race. Doesn't mean anything nefarious happened. Sometimes racing produces weird results. Sometimes late season turf courses are friendlier to different horses than summertime courses. Who knows.
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Old 11-15-2021, 09:01 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind View Post
Steve, I'm not sure why you feel a need to exhaustively redboard an impossible horse. The problem with your logic is he didn't sneak into this win, get a great trip and take advantage of poor ones by others, as he had easily the toughest trip of anyone in the race, and drew off to a career defining victory in his second start for this trainer, and not that long after being claimed for $25K from Todd Pletcher.

Maybe he freaked on a soft turf. It certainly wouldn't be the first time that has happened. His three prior races on courses listed as good weren't strong, even arguably worse than his firm turf efforts, but a softer course like the one on Saturday may well have been much different and to his liking. Regardless, this is an inexplicable effort. To each their own, but I don't believe there is any logical handicapping argument for him, even after the race. Doesn't mean anything nefarious happened. Sometimes racing produces weird results. Sometimes late season turf courses are friendlier to different horses than summertime courses. Who knows.
Not redboarding anything. Just trying to provide what felt like interesting context to elements of a surprising winner. Like you explaining the soft-ish turf being a logical factor.
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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  #10  
Old 11-15-2021, 09:07 AM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept View Post
Not redboarding anything. Just trying to provide what felt like interesting context to elements of a surprising winner. Like you explaining the soft-ish turf being a logical factor.
Is there an English translation?

Freddy, can you help here?
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