Bob Baffert Question

[theguarantee]

^Good point JMS I totally agree on Medina and do think this question is more nuanced than just numbers. I kicked myself after this race because Ax Man just felt like the classic “other Baffert” and I only used on backups which didn’t connect. That is more of a gut feel than anything tangible however.

I do believe, and apologies as my memory is somewhat faulty, that someone researched this a couple years back (my best guess is it was posted on twitter and I think it was maybe DougieSal or InsidethePylons but again thats a guess)...the results, again I want to stress I don’t totally remember, I believe somewhat disputed this theory, much to the surprise of the internet (and myself). I do believe there was one trainer who had a suspiciously high number of longer priced winners but I want to say it was Pletcher or Brown and not Baffert. Again, I want to stress this is all recollection, I don’t have any screenshots or direct knowledge.

[Konk]

I did a study of that a couple of years ago and you would have done better $$$wise betting the longer odds horses. (2018 I believe)

[King Glorious]

For what it's worth, Pletcher just won the Wood with a 70-1 shot, his second horse in the race.

[RolloTomasi]

More of the same but kind of a head scratcher in the 4th at Santa Anita.

The less fancied Baffert won but who would have figured in a maiden special weight race that the one who was bred and owned by Juddmonte Farms, sired by the world's leading stallion Into Mischief, got the riding services of John Velasquez, and had a race under his belt would be the longer price of the two?

The odds on favorite was a NY-bred $1 million yearling purchase sired by a stallion that stands for only $10K.

[Dahoss]

Originally Posted by RolloTomasi

More of the same but kind of a head scratcher in the 4th at Santa Anita.

The less fancied Baffert won but who would have figured in a maiden special weight race that the one who was bred and owned by Juddmonte Farms, sired by the world's leading stallion Into Mischief, got the riding services of John Velasquez, and had a race under his belt would be the longer price of the two?

The odds on favorite was a NY-bred $1 million yearling purchase sired by a stallion that stands for only $10K.

Big workout reports on the favorite in that race.

[RolloTomasi]

Originally Posted by Dahoss

Big workout reports on the favorite in that race.

No doubt.

I did forget to mention that Laurel River was also First Time Lasix...