8/29: Saratoga (6th-11th; X-C P5)

[moses]

Thanks Steve. It's a shame with the weather because this card looked really good. I still like it, even if many of the turf races come off, and think this Pick 5 could be a monster. My current caveman-style ticket is well over $300 though so going to have to make some tough cuts to get it to a manageable range.

Good luck!

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by moses

Thanks Steve. It's a shame with the weather because this card looked really good. I still like it, even if many of the turf races come off, and think this Pick 5 could be a monster. My current caveman-style ticket is well over $300 though so going to have to make some tough cuts to get it to a manageable range.

Good luck!

There was only one race that was coming off, the 2nd. The other turf races are the stakes and they're on. Note the Saranac has been moved to the Mellon.

G/L!

[casp0555]

Andy stated that there would be some run up in the Sarnac

[Kasept]

SAR SCR/CHG'S

WO SCR/CHG'S

MTH SCR/CHG'S

[chuck60]

Awesome handicapping again!

You nailed the Pick 5 and Pick 4 (albeit with a caveman approach). Hopefully the Byk train keeps rolling through the Derby. Thanks for everything you do.

[moses]

Steve, great job but it’s sickening how close you were to that Pick 5. Great calls on Bustin Scones and having Win Win Win as an A.

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by moses

Steve, great job but it’s sickening how close you were to that Pick 5. Great calls on Bustin Scones and having Win Win Win as an A.

THX Mose.. It's the P4 I'd like to have back. I was in the car while still driving to Louisville when I stopped to make the late changes, so maybe I wasn't focused enough to think it through. But I knew that the Contessa assistant was winning the nightcap and didn't react accordingly in the ticket.

[moses]

Originally Posted by Kasept

THX Mose.. It's the P4 I'd like to have back. I was in the car while still driving to Louisville when I stopped to make the late changes, so maybe I wasn't focused enough to think it through. But I knew that the Contessa assistant was winning the nightcap and didn't react accordingly in the ticket.

Whenever you have a horse that is 10-1 or higher as your top pick, I always give it a long look and so I included the 4 but couldn’t connect on the other legs. I’ve wanted to go back and look at the ROI on those picks. I bet it’s extremely good.

[chuck60]

Well, I do owe you a drink and then some the next time crowds are allowed at the track. I took a look at the CC, the P5 and then the P4 and decided to add in the C's on the 9th since you had them in the CC. YEs, a bit of a caveman, but it worked and I am grateful. Thanks again.

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by chuck60

Awesome handicapping again!

You nailed the Pick 5 and Pick 4 (albeit with a caveman approach). Hopefully the Byk train keeps rolling through the Derby. Thanks for everything you do.

Chuck.. THX but while I had a couple good ideas today, it was only the P4 that was there for the taking, at least for my play. I made a very bad decision going 3x4 when 6x2 was what was needed. I loved the winner in the last and made her a single on the P5 'A' ticket. Knew the Sword Dancer was tricky with the turf the way it was and a wide was going to be necessary. Used all 6 in the X-C in fact..

But for whatever reason I wasted the B's on the 11th when I needed them in the 10th. Got something with Bustin Scones, but the P4 paid 5k. Hope many did well, but a very deflating end to the day, especially when folding in Gary and Paul Giacopelli's filly fatally fracturing her forearm after clipping heels and falling.