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  #1  
Old 08-27-2020, 01:24 PM
theguarantee theguarantee is offline
Golden Gate
 
Join Date: Feb 2014
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Posts: 387
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With both of my picks scratched I’ll update:

Best Bet: Race 6 #1A Little Red Frog
Best Value: Race 8: #6 Danny California
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  #2  
Old 08-28-2020, 09:21 AM
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moses moses is offline
Oriental Park
 
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Posts: 3,915
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Updated the returns as Mischief Afoot finished 2nd and returned $4.80 to place.

Friday, August 28.

Best bet: Race 3 - #6 Principal Dancer (7/2 ML). Principal Dancer ran well at this level last time out and now gets a jockey upgrade with Luis Saez taking over for a barn that has been pretty hot recently. The very minor cutback from 6.5 furlongs to 6 shouldn't make a huge difference but I think he'll like the slightly shorter distance.

Longshot: Race 8 - #5 Night Time (15/1 ML). Based on the workouts, Dale Romans seems to have this one cranked up. Last race, Night Time got bumped a few times at the start and then would not settle. That race was also off a long layoff, so I'll forgive him for that. If we look back to his 2YO dirt races, he should be able to win against this bunch with a little bit of improvement. This will be his first race against older horses, so there's obviously a little concern there but it's also nearly September and these 4YOs are beatable.


Best bets: $48.00 wagered. $18.20 returned.
Longshots: $48.00 wagered. $23.60 returned.
Total: $96.00 wagered. $41.80 returned.
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  #3  
Old 08-28-2020, 12:39 PM
theguarantee theguarantee is offline
Golden Gate
 
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Wagered: $64.00
Returned: $79.20

Best Bet: Race 9 #2 Micheline
Best Value: Race 7 #3 Matta
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  #4  
Old 08-28-2020, 03:59 PM
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moses moses is offline
Oriental Park
 
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Posts: 3,915
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Quote:
Originally Posted by moses View Post
Updated the returns as Mischief Afoot finished 2nd and returned $4.80 to place.

Friday, August 28.

Best bet: Race 3 - #6 Principal Dancer (7/2 ML). Principal Dancer ran well at this level last time out and now gets a jockey upgrade with Luis Saez taking over for a barn that has been pretty hot recently. The very minor cutback from 6.5 furlongs to 6 shouldn't make a huge difference but I think he'll like the slightly shorter distance.

Longshot: Race 8 - #5 Night Time (15/1 ML). Based on the workouts, Dale Romans seems to have this one cranked up. Last race, Night Time got bumped a few times at the start and then would not settle. That race was also off a long layoff, so I'll forgive him for that. If we look back to his 2YO dirt races, he should be able to win against this bunch with a little bit of improvement. This will be his first race against older horses, so there's obviously a little concern there but it's also nearly September and these 4YOs are beatable.


Best bets: $48.00 wagered. $18.20 returned.
Longshots: $48.00 wagered. $23.60 returned.
Total: $96.00 wagered. $41.80 returned.
Another runner I would have never picked if I knew the post time odds. But that’s part of the challenge, I guess. Getting back $2.50 for Principal Dancer’s 2nd place finish. Maybe Night Time can make it up for me.
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  #5  
Old 08-28-2020, 05:56 PM
Alabama Stakes Alabama Stakes is offline
Havre de Grace
 
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Location: suffolk downs
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Maybe he can...... good job Mo
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  #6  
Old 08-28-2020, 06:10 PM
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moses moses is offline
Oriental Park
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Alabama Stakes View Post
Maybe he can...... good job Mo
Thanks. Had a crappy day as my car overheated with my two little ones in it with me. All good now. But it was nice to be able to hit this one. Haven't been able to look at tomorrow's races but hopefully I can build off of this.

Best bets: $52.00 wagered. $20.70 returned.
Longshots: $52.00 wagered. $54.60 returned.
Total: $104.00 wagered. $75.30 returned.
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  #7  
Old 08-28-2020, 07:11 PM
Dahoss Dahoss is offline
Keeneland
 
Join Date: Jul 2010
Posts: 10,293
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Quote:
Originally Posted by moses View Post
Thanks. Had a crappy day as my car overheated with my two little ones in it with me. All good now. But it was nice to be able to hit this one. Haven't been able to look at tomorrow's races but hopefully I can build off of this.

Best bets: $52.00 wagered. $20.70 returned.
Longshots: $52.00 wagered. $54.60 returned.
Total: $104.00 wagered. $75.30 returned.
Nice job today! Like I said...it just takes one to get you going
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  #8  
Old 08-28-2020, 08:10 PM
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moses moses is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Dahoss View Post
Nice job today! Like I said...it just takes one to get you going
Yup! Gotta keep it rolling now.
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