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Old 02-12-2020, 01:02 PM
fantini33's Avatar
fantini33 fantini33 is offline
Churchill Downs
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: Boston
Posts: 1,862
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Originally Posted by fantini33 View Post
Boy, now that is what a rail bias looks like. IMO.

Taking a long time to get notes into Timeform going through these replays. Gonna be lots of playbacks. I'm giddy.
From Thursday 2/6-Sunday 2/9 there were 33 runners that came back from opening weekend, where the rail was SOLID GOLD on 1/24, GOLD on 1/25, and quite nice on 1/26. Of the 33, 5 were play against since they spent the majority of the race on the rail. None won. All but one definitely regressed. 28 were either neutral-ish or dead against the bias. 9 winners, 7 places, 7 shows. There are a few overlaps in the which ended up as exactas and even triples otherwise win total may be higher. Winners included 4-1, 20-1, 4-1, 27-1, 7-1, 7-1. Places included 10-1, 8-1, 11-1, 6-1. Shows included 5-1, 4-1, 15-1, 14-1. These horses are there for the taking and there are a bunch coming back in the next few days. Watch the replays from those initial 3 days and if the tried to close wide upgrade a ton. if they rode rail, play against.

Best of luck!
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