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  #1  
Old 12-26-2006, 07:04 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
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Thx guys.. I hadn't answered the "Up/Down in '06" thread question yet, but can now safely say "Up" for the year...

This makes up for the $9 loss on the Calder winning 4 the other day!! And to be honest, the ticket cost less than the one I posted this morning...

And you know, we should all recognize from this that there's credence to Bellsbendboy's P4 theories... Two REALLY playable horses in Kip Deville and Latent Heat bring back great mutuels, and then the favorites on either end. $1,700??? Wow.. This is why the "4" is the best bet at the track.
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  #2  
Old 12-26-2006, 11:34 PM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept

And you know, we should all recognize from this that there's credence to Bellsbendboy's P4 theories... Two REALLY playable horses in Kip Deville and Latent Heat bring back great mutuels, and then the favorites on either end. $1,700??? Wow.. This is why the "4" is the best bet at the track.
I can't let this go. Come on, obviously a " theory " that says find two solid priced horses to key off in a Pick-4 and you CAN make a lot of money is correct....HOWEVER, finding these two horses and playing your ticket correctly off of them is a whole other story....and one that isn't " writable " for an average of $40....at least not to the tune of making 18 times your investment over time.

I don't think anyone would dispute that a Pick-4 where you have two strong opinions CAN work out well for you and is certainly a situation one should invest in. However, you are likely to be correct with both horses only a small percentage of the time, and while if you're a good handicapper and a good bettor you will find this makes money for you, it is impossible that, first, you will do this with regularity ( especially on small plays ) and secondly that you will have the afformentioned substantial ROI over time.


The Pick-4 is a great bet, and YOU showed us that today, but you have also seen how many times it has proven elusive and a lot harder than it looked beforehand. Mere mortals like us do not have ROIs of $36.24 for every $2 bet.
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  #3  
Old 12-26-2006, 11:38 PM
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randallscott35 randallscott35 is offline
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That a boy Steve.
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  #4  
Old 12-26-2006, 11:50 PM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by randallscott35
That a boy Steve.

Yeah....and that too!
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  #5  
Old 12-27-2006, 04:03 AM
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SCUDSBROTHER SCUDSBROTHER is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept
Thx guys.. I hadn't answered the "Up/Down in '06" thread question yet, but can now safely say "Up" for the year...

This makes up for the $9 loss on the Calder winning 4 the other day!! And to be honest, the ticket cost less than the one I posted this morning...

And you know, we should all recognize from this that there's credence to Bellsbendboy's P4 theories... Two REALLY playable horses in Kip Deville and Latent Heat bring back great mutuels, and then the favorites on either end. $1,700??? Wow.. This is why the "4" is the best bet at the track.
It is indeed the best bet at the track.That's atleast $700 above the win parlay.I've seen people hide money in the p4,but even more often in the p3(for instance,the pick 3 ending in the Malibu only paid the win parlay of about $150,and Steve got over 11x that much for continuing on with the 9/2 in the last.)Andy,the amount of $$ to put in depends on how strongly a player feels about the horses in the 4 races.The situation is simply different all the time.The pick 6 is a much different situation.$48 on a pick 4 is not necessarily too little to play on a pick 4 on a regular basis. Sure,your chances go up if you spend more,but Steve can be wrong almost 40 times in a row now(playing $48) before he goes in the red.
Last edited by SCUDSBROTHER : 12-27-2006 at 04:19 AM.
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  #6  
Old 12-27-2006, 03:00 PM
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Bogey Bogey is offline
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Nice Hit, I sure wished I would've included your boy Kip Deville. Now that's the way to start a meet.
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  #7  
Old 12-26-2006, 07:30 PM
Gander Gander is offline
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Nice pick 4 Steve. Hope you had a 10 spot on it!
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  #8  
Old 12-26-2006, 07:42 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Gander
Nice pick 4 Steve. Hope you had a 10 spot on it!
LOL.. Not a free-wheeler like you TR.. Just $1..
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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  #9  
Old 12-26-2006, 07:44 PM
GPK GPK is offline
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Well done Stevo....

now if T3B can just get off the 3 outta 4 bus at Tampa, maybe we can make some noise around here...
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  #10  
Old 12-26-2006, 07:47 PM
Gander Gander is offline
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LOL, Having a $1 on that is not too shabby. Well done and I was kidding.

Plus I would have had $100 on it, not $10

Now put that money away for a rainy day and declare the meet a victory.
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  #11  
Old 12-26-2006, 07:48 PM
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Sightseek Sightseek is offline
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Congrats!
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  #12  
Old 12-26-2006, 11:13 PM
point given
 
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You got it right, good on you What a satisfying end to the year . I'll have to pay more attention to this section
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