Belmont Day Playalong

[RHT2004]

Originally Posted by pointman

Historically this is a very smart approach.

Hate stuff like this. Why do past running's matter at all? Will AP think to himself that other potential triple crown winners have run 2nd or 3rd so he should not win and run 2nd or 3rd.

[pointman]

Bel 11

$20W 7
$5TRI 6,7,8/5/6,7,8
$10DD 7,8/5,6

[pointman]

Originally Posted by RHT2004

Hate stuff like this. Why do past running's matter at all? Will AP think to himself that other potential triple crown winners have run 2nd or 3rd so he should not win and run 2nd or 3rd.

I don't give a flying f*** what you think, it has nothing to do with what the horse thinks. It has everything to do with how difficult it is to win this race after winning the Derby and Preakness. That last 1/4 mile takes a lot out of a horse and that is where they become vulnerable.

Go jump all over the 3/5 which is a massive underlay considering his actual chances of winning.

[Needing the Wire]

06/06 6:23 PM Santa Anita 8 $0.50 P4 (PWHL) 2, 5, 8, 11, 12 / 8 / 6, 12 / 2, 8, 10 $15.00

06/06 6:24 PM Santa Anita 8 $1.00 TR (PWHL) 2 / 5, 8, 12 / 5, 7, 8, 11, 12, 13 $15.00

Take a swing while we wait.

[RHT2004]

Originally Posted by pointman

I don't give a flying f*** what you think, it has nothing to do with what the horse thinks. It has everything to do with how difficult it is to win this race after winning the Derby and Preakness.

Go jump all over the 3/5 which is a massive underlay considering his actual chances of winning.

No need to swear, I just gave my opinion. I wasn't disrespectful. Good luck, I like your horses in the 12th, have them both in my pick 3 and 4.

[jms62]

Originally Posted by RHT2004

Hate stuff like this. Why do past running's matter at all? Will AP think to himself that other potential triple crown winners have run 2nd or 3rd so he should not win and run 2nd or 3rd.

You bet a trend until it ends. Trying to bet against an established trend cause you feel it is do is a fools game.

[RHT2004]

Originally Posted by jms62

You bet a trend until it ends. Trying to bet against an established trend cause you feel it is do is a fools game.

I think AP will win, I dont bet 3-5 shots to win. He snaps back and talks about go bet him at 3-5.
Good luck both of you.

[Benny]

Belmont 11 $1.00 P3 5,6 / 5,7,10 / 8,10,11 $18.00
Belmont 11 $1.00 P3 1,3,5,6,8 / 5,7,10 / 10,11 $30.00

[pointman]

Originally Posted by RHT2004

No need to swear, I just gave my opinion. I wasn't disrespectful. Good luck, I like your horses in the 12th, have them both in my pick 3 and 4.

I like to swear Joey. I have said in other spots on the board that my heart wants him to win, but my money says otherwise. I wish him the best of luck, just think that last 1/4 of a mile will get to him as it has so many others.

[pointman]

Originally Posted by RHT2004

I think AP will win, I dont bet 3-5 shots to win. He snaps back and talks about go bet him at 3-5.
Good luck both of you.

My point was you have to try to beat him at 3/5, you have to recognize that he is a massive underlay relative to his true chances to win, right? And if he is a massive underlay that means the rest of the field are all overlays, correct?

[RHT2004]

Originally Posted by pointman

I like to swear Joey. I have said in other spots on the board that my heart wants him to win, but my money says otherwise. I wish him the best of luck, just think that last 1/4 of a mile will get to him as it has so many others.

Fair enough broski. Good luck. Serling likes Keen Ice as well, out of respect I had to use him underneath. Dougie also liked him in the Derby, thats a lot of sharp people.

[casp0555]

one more play...

$3 Superfecta - 5,6/5,6/7,8/3,7,8
$24
damn....

[knickslions2]

Originally Posted by casp0555

one more play...

$3 Superfecta - 5,6/5,6/7,8/3,7,8
$24

Keep it coming in Billy

[jms62]

I haven't cashed a ticket all day

[APDave]

Bel. 11

Might as well empty the account

$25 super.

5,8/5,8/6/1
5,6/5,6/8/3

$10 super.

8/6/3,5/3,5
1/5/6,8/6,8
5,6/5,6/8/3

[RHT2004]

Originally Posted by jms62

I haven't cashed a ticket all day

I cashed 1-3 pick 3 and doubles. Have lost about 700$ since then. The tickets are on my FB before everyone calls me a redboarding POS.

[jms62]

Dry track will that make the difference.

[pointman]

Once I saw 1:13 and change I knew we had a triple crown winner, congrats to Baffert and the Zayat's. He is very deserving.

I am still surprised that JV let him get away that easy early though.

[knickslions2]

Well deserved

[jms62]

Originally Posted by jms62

Dry track will that make the difference.

Nope he wins EASILY How awesome was that guys!!!