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#1
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![]() You guys are far more of the experts, but what I liked about AP's performance today was that he hustled out of the gate when asked, settled when asked (really just loping along), and then fired when asked. His ears were active, "listening" to the Espinosa in the stretch with a hand ride. He looked remarkably "happy" for a horse running in horrible conditions.
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#2
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So far I ask, who has he really beat? Is there a horse out there that's close to or worthy of giving him a real test. We may see in 3 weeks and/or on down the road but so much can change and happen . . . Look, he has done little, if anything, wrong in his young racing career, and some already said here . . . let's enjoy him and I add get behind him in force and cheer him and connections on (who are also awesome horse people) and truly hope we are all not disappointed one more time.
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The wind of heaven is that which blows between a horse’s ears – Arabian Proverb |
#3
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![]() Yes, the next test is whether he can run just as "happily" for a mile and a half. And we can hope that Baffert and Espinosa have learned lessons from their past "almosts."
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#4
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#5
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![]() I for one, Am so excited for the prospect of a TC winner this year. I think we might just see it and that gives be a Boner
![]() ..............and Baba Booey to y'all
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We've Gone Delirious |
#6
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The wind of heaven is that which blows between a horse’s ears – Arabian Proverb |
#7
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![]() The closest comps to this horse recently are Smarty Jones and Big Brown. I honestly don't think American Pharoah's Ky Derby/Preakness performances are as good as those two and those two appeared to absolutely tower over their class. Things tend to happen at Belmont Park as horses attempt to win the triple crown. Right now I'd put his chances at less than 20 percent chance to win that race. I think many of the last 13 who have tried it in the last 37 years are better than American Pharoah and they all failed. I hope I'm wrong as I'd like to see it done again.
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The Main Course...the chosen or frozen entree?! |
#8
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![]() I'd put his chances at about 20%. Other than Materiality it doesn't appear (at this point) to be much speed in the race (though maybe Carpe Diem shows more). We do still have three weeks so who knows who ends up showing up. I think 20% means he has a huge chance of winning but it's still a long way out and anyway I'll be playing against the potential triple crown aspirant. I do think, after last year, Victor puts him on the lead and we'll see how long he lasts. I'm sure he'll get run down late, maybe he doesn't even hit the board, but, still, who cares. The important part for the game is that he makes it there in tact (knock on wood). It's going to be a great day...and if he does win it...well, ****, it's going to be nuts and rightfully so.
As for the crop suddenly being subpar, that's just embarrassing. I was pumped to see Firing Line and Dortmund throw down with AP in the stretch again but clearly Mother Nature was rooting for the Pharaoh. (Tale of Verve won't finish anywhere near the board in the Belmont) Anyway, they'll regroup and win there share of races. Hopefully we see them back at in the summer/fall. (Calling it now, Dortmund will win the Haskell) I still think this crop is one of the best we've seen and wouldn't be surprised if those two have something to say in the BCC at the end of the year. Don't get caught up in the time. It doesn't mean anything. That race was fantastic today! Just what we needed. Thank God AP handled the slop. On to Belmont...where Frosted will win, spoiling another crown bid...but who cares. All that matters is that we head to Belmont with the chance. The result is irrelevant. |
#9
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![]() I'll feel like Sightypoo and Deb-o-Deb riding the sybian........
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We've Gone Delirious |
#10
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Tod Marks Photo - Daybreak over Oklahoma |
#11
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The wind of heaven is that which blows between a horse’s ears – Arabian Proverb |
#12
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#13
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It is a little surprising to me that you have something against one of the best trainers of all time..... ![]() |
#14
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![]() If the connections ever read any of your posts from Clyde/Mortimer/whoever the weirdo is, I'm sure they'd be THRILLED to hear of your distaste.
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"A person who saw no important difference between the fire outside a Neandrathal's cave and a working thermo-nuclear reactor might tell you that junk bonds and derivatives BOTH serve to energize capital" - Nathan Israel |
#15
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#17
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![]() ... and that pretty much sums it up. Well said. |
#18
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![]() Jesus thanks you too!
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The wind of heaven is that which blows between a horse’s ears – Arabian Proverb |
#19
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#20
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![]() So on AP's lack of speed, I went back and found this, interesting . . .
Private clocker and bloodstock agent Gary Young told Churchill Downs' communications department he's been in those businesses 35 years, "and (American Pharoah) might be the best horse I've ever seen. He's simply like Michael Jordan and stays in the air like he did in his rookie year. He stays in the air longer than any horse and you get the feeling that there's not one gear left, but he may have two, three or four gears." Could be he just uses enough of that "speed" to win, ya think maybe? ![]() ![]()
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The wind of heaven is that which blows between a horse’s ears – Arabian Proverb Last edited by DonGuido : 05-17-2015 at 11:16 AM. |
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