8/29: Saratoga (Day 37; Riskaverse)

[Kasept]

Enjoyed good day Thursday and now gear up for final 10% of summer stand. 45 races between here and Labor Day finish line, so let's make the most of them!


SARATOGA RACE COURSE


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: CLM, 3yo-F, 7f (P5, P3, DD)

Tacones the right price 'key' but concerned that there's not enough early lick in here for her rally..

Best Value: #3 Tacones 5-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Little Gidding 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Da Wildcat Girl 3-1 WON ($9.60)
Super Add: #2 Lady Doris 6-1 3rd


2nd: CLM/N2L, 3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Not sure what to do with Herd Mentality, as Asmussen barn continues to throw one dirt sprinter after another in to the lawn dash arena. Fast enough to contend from bell but not a lot to recommend for assignment from the pedigree end..

Best Value: #8 Bajan Summer 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Golden Story 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #9 Recanted 5-1 8th
Super Add: #3 Kid Blast 4-1 3rd


3rd: MCLM/$65k, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD)

Not a typical MDN Claimer with some very solid faves and intriguing prices including Weaver 2nd timer getting hood and Lasix and sharp working Lewis firster for prominent owners..

Best Value: #4 One More Song 7-2 4th
Next Best: #1 Late Night Artist 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Amazing Little Lady 8-1 3rd
Super Add: #6 Path to Power 15-1 6th


4th: S/ALW, 3+, 10f (P3, DD)

Very tricky classic distance test..

Most Likely: #1e Ownership entry 5-2 3rd/8th
Best Value: #3 Springcourt 5-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Village Warrior 3-1 WON ($9.60)
Exotics Use: #4 Desvelo 10-1 2nd


5th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Lady Kreesa 2-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Take It Inside 5-1 2nd
Best Value: #3 Coriander 10-1 5th
Exotics Use: #9 Life's a Stage 4-1 7th
Super Add: #7 Devious Maddy 7-2 3rd


P5 Grid:

1: 3-5 (A), 2-4 (B), 1-6 (C)
2: 5-8 (A), 9 (B), 3-10 (C)
3: 4 (A), 1-2 (B), 6 (C)
4: 1-3 (A), 7 (B), 4-6 (C)
5: 4 (A), - (B), 1-3-5-7-9 (C)


P4 Grid:

2: 5-8 (A), 9 (B), 3-10 (C)
3: 4 (A), 1-2 (B), 6 (C)
4: 1-3 (A), 4-7 (B), 2-5-6 (C)
5: 4 (A), 1-3 (B), 5-7-9 (C)


6th: CLM, 3+, 5.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Mish Mosh 5-1 WON ($9.40)
Next Best: #4 Partly Mocha 5-2 4th
Best Value: #3 Flashlight 20-1 7th
Super Add: #8 Jess Not Jesse 8-1 3rd


7th: NY-CLM, 3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Won Great Classic 5-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Jeter 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Joe Mooch 6-1 WON ($9.00)
Super Add: #5 Cay to Pomeroy Late SCR


8th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Would love to reach for prices but the obvious players seem to stand out. Brandini (15-1) is out of mare that is a half sister to CDN turf SW Don Cavallo hinting at possible lawn aptitude..

Most Likely: #7 Takeoff Your Hat 5-2 9th
Next Best: #8 Milkyyourway 3-1 4th
Best Value: #6 Brandini 15-1 7th
Exotics Use: #9 Keen Katana 7-2 3rd


9th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Alexandre 2-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 My Super Nova 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #9 Madoo Late SCR-Gate
Exotics Use: #7 Dream On 6-1 5th


10th: 6th Riskaverse, 3yo-F, 1m-IT (DD)

Well-matched group of soph gals..

Most Likely: #3 Fashion Fund 5-1 2nd
Best Value: #6 Old Harbor 12-1 7th
Next Best: #2 Miss Frost 3-1 WON ($8.80)
Exotics Use: #5 Granny Mc's Kitten 9-5 3rd


11th: MSW, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T

Wild group. Clear faves, but looming firsters..

Most Likely: #6 Zindaya 3-1 WON ($5.60)
Next Best: #8 Braided 4-1 10th
Best Value: #10 Miadoro 10-1 7th
Exotics Use: #1 Galroyale 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #9 Wavell Avenue 5-1 9th
Wide Spread: #4 Court Appeal 12-1 5th


P4 Grid:

8: 7-8 (A), 6 (B), 1-2-3-4-9 (C)
9: 5-8 (A), 7-9 (B), 1-2-4-11 (C)
10: 3 (A), 2-6 (B), 5 (C)
11: 6-8 (A), 1-10 (B), 4-5-9 (C)


Good luck!
Steve