Quote:
Originally Posted by Calzone Lord
Yeah -- I'm sure there are a lot of people chasing dreams and putting together tickets using virtually impossible longshots in almost every race. That helps the parlay when a sequence of mostly rational horses win.
Still, I doubt it's enough to offset the rake.
Justin Dew has been playing idiotic caveman style tickets and has clobbered the thing 3 different times. Even that hasn't inspired me to so much as consider making, what absolutely is a sucker-bet imo.
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I agree with Jack, it has been a really strong bet. Just today, it paid $4,623 versus a $.20 parlay of $2,196, with the late scratch in the final leg of the 2nd choice, essentially cutting the payoff in near half, so on a challenging but playable sequence it was 4x the parlay. There are more than a few people putting together tickets that are just lighting their money on fire in the hope that it is a sole winning ticket. Yesterday, the parlay was $181 and it paid $1,452! There were 202 winning tickets yesterday. If there were no jackpot element, hypothetically it would have been $600 higher- but the reality is it would have paid nowhere near that. Sunday at Aqueduct in a traditional $2 pick 6, the sequence was equally chalky and the parlay was $1,495 and it paid $2,324, on a carryover day. So in essence it was 1/6th of the payoff of the GP 6.
Don't get Pace Advantage'd into thinking takeout is everything. Takeout is important when you are playing against good players. Think about it this way... would you rather play a poker game with a 5% rake against top players, or a 20% rake against players moving all in blind?
03-13-2014, 09:24 PM
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