10/3: Belmont Park ($165k DBL C/O)

[Kasept]

P6 carryover clicked over to another day rather surprisingly Wednesday, as just 10-1 Vinny Goodtimes (5th) and nightcap AE draw in As Well (6-1) appeared enough to stymie players. As Well getting in to the 9th was part of a series of scratch-influenced results that included Insolvent ($11.00) isolated on the lead with So Blessed having left the opener. Baby J didn't win the featured Catinca in wire to wire fashion, but certainly had a better opportunity for success after equally-quick Bridgehampton demured. The Catinca was also impacted by a scary gate flip from Prioress heroine Lighthouse Bay who was of course scratched. $165k double pot to start the sextet today and another very treacherous sequence..


BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-IT (P5, P3, DD)

Pedigrees on parade here with Sunset Ride a half to Gaviola who was sharp as 3yo for Bill Turner taking G1 Garden City and more. Mott prominent sending debuter Touch the Star SCR'D for Juddmonte, (a half to Foret winner Etoille Monante), and Crown Queen, the Smart Strike filly out of Delta Princess that is Royal Delta's little sister. Ribaudo stretches out More Than Ready daughter Knacque while moving to turf. Chad Brown sends firster Status for Paul Pompa who homecooked the chestnut covering Backseat Rhythm with Big Brown..

Most Likely: #7 Knacque 4-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Crown Queen 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #1 Sunset Ride 15-1 9th
Exotics Use: #3 Status 8-1 7th


2nd: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 7f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Pacesetters Mississippi Duel and Breathaway may have things their own way up front. Captain Gaughen and Uncle Mitcho can stalk outside and inside..

Most Likely: #7 Captain Gaughen 5-2 8th
Best Value: #1 Uncle Mitcho 5-1 6th
Next Best: #5 Mississippi Duel 2-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Breathaway 4-1 WON ($13.00)


3rd: OC/S-ALW, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Sweet Maxine can wire if left unattended..

Most Likely: #3 Sweet Maxine 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 My Sparky 9-5 WON ($3.40)
Exotics Use: #4 Bird House 2-1 2nd


4th: CLM, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P6, P3, DD)

$165k C/O starts here..

Very difficult start to sequence with group (2-3-4-5-7) that could end up grappling for lead. Nothing, including a rally into collapse scenario by 20-1 Blue Sixty Four, would shock..

Most Likely: #2 Evasive Cat 7-5 3rd
Next Best: #5 Lavalette Gold 6-1 6th
Best Value: #3 Inaflash 8-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Unbroken Dream 4-1 4th


5th: MSW, 3+, 7f (G/S, P3, DD)

Logic says Minx the pick but can't you clearly see her getting caught late? Even if you do, who's the one that gets to her? Either an easy anchor to the P5 or next step in difficult sequence..

Most Likely: #4 Minx 9-5 6th
Best Value: #1 Hummingbird Hill 8-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Ultimate Shopper 3-1 WON ($5.80)
Exotics Use: #3 Sylvia T 5-1 3rd


<$50 P5 Play:

1: 1-3-5-7
2: 1-5-6-7
3: 3-4-6
4: 2
5: 1-4

4x4x3x1x2 = 96 x .50 = $48


<$50 P4 Play:

2: 1-5-6-7
3: 3-4-6
4: 2-3-5-7
5: 1-4

4x3x4x2 = 96 x .50 = $48


6th: CLM, F&M-3+, 7f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Dance With Gio 3-1 WON ($6.70)
Best Value: #2 Fall Into Fath 12-1 6th
Next Best: #5 Greatest Dream 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 She Drives Me Wild 6-1 5th


7th: NY-MSW, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Native Singer 2-1 6th
Best Value: #4 Shot to Win 6-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Leroy Jr. 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Hidden Warrior 12-1 3rd


8th: OC/S-ALW, 3+, 6f-IT (DD)

Most Likely: #7 Bernie the Jet 3-1 7th
Best Value: #4 Bluegrass Springs 12-1 WON ($12.00)
Next Best: #6 I'm Wide Awake 4-1 6th
Exotics Use: #9 Apex 10-1 9th


9th: MCLM/$65k, 2yo, 1m-T

Most Likely: #5 All Tied Up 7-2 5th
Next Best: #8 Nauset Beach 8-1 4th
Best Value: #1a Aunt Ruby's Kitten 4-1 6th
Exotics Use: #7 Sycamore Lane 15-1 2nd


<$150 P6 Play:

4: 2-5
5: 1-4
6: 2-5-9
7: 5
8: 4-7
9: 1-5-8

2x2x3x1x2x3 = 72 x $2 = $144


<$50 P4 Play:

6: 2-5-9
7: 1-4-5
8: 4-6-7
9: 1-5-7-8

3x3x3x4 = 108 x .50 = $54



BEL-PEN P4

A: 4-6-7
B: 1-5-7-8
C: 3-5-6
D: 1-3-4

3x4x3x3 = 108 x .50 = $54


Good luck!
Steve