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Old 08-19-2013, 07:07 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,937
Default 8/19: Saratoga (Day 28-Union Avenue)

Always a special day when your team wins a race and getting 'your picture took' at Saratoga is a further enhancement of the experience. My Pal of Pals moved forward Sunday off what amounted to an exercise run a week before and scored at 7-1 in the 4th. Junior Alvarado, a source of frustration in the previous try, rode an exceptional race on the City Zip colt, avoiding a possible inquiry by holding Pal together when he tried to lug in at the sixteenth pole after taking the lead. In addition to the $16.40 win tote, Pal tripped a $35.50 exacta with 2nd choice Freud's Debut and $248.50 triple with Spirit of Peace with his second career win. Thanks to Gary & Paul and their staff, Junior, the partners and everyone who was rooting along. It was another memorable day at the old Spa. Hope everyone did well!


SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: NY-MSW, 2yo, 6.5f (P3, DD)

This is a curious group and I don't think Thug Daddy has to win..

Most Likely: #6 Blue Collar Cat 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #2 Testosterstone 15-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Thug Daddy 6-5 4th
Exotics Use: #5 So Lonesome 4-1 WON ($6.50)


2nd: MSW, F&M-3+, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

It's remarkable that Flores Island remains winless, but despite facing the fewest number of foes in her career, she's no more likely to break through today either. Sheer Drama stretches out, a good Tony Dutrow move..

Most Likely: #4 Sheer Drama 7-2 WON ($11.00)
Best Value: #5 Keri Belle 5-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Flores Island 6-5 2nd


3rd: NY-OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Make the Moment 7-2 WON ($9.80)
Best Value: #1 Sweet Maxine 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Hot Stones 8-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 L B's Expression 4-1 6th


4th: CLM, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Hot Tempo 3-1 WON ($6.00)
Next Best: #1 Insolvent 6-1 4th
Best Value: #7 Chloe Bear 12-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Bozique 15-1 2nd


5th: 10th Union Avenue-NY, F&M-3+, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

Nicely matched set. Rudolfo Romero back again with Galiana looking to be first with 3 wins at meet..

Most Likely: #3 Willet 8-5 WON ($4.80)
Best Value: #1 Cape Cod Carol 10-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Clear Pasaj 5-2 2nd


<$50 P4 Play:

2: 2-3-4-5
3: 1-3-7
4: 1-9
5: 1-3-4-6

4x3x2x4 = 96 x .50 = $48

$.50 P4 (4-7-3/9/11-3) Paid $111.25


6th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f-T (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Logan Street 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #12 Trainingforsuccess 15-1 5th
Next Best: 8 An Imaginary Road 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #10 Hardrocker 6-1 7th


7th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (P4, P3, DD)

As usual, state bred turf ALW route a delicious wagering opp..

Most Likely: #9 Joy Seeker 2-1 5th
Best Value: #4 A Prettydixie 8-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Invading Humor 5-1 WON ($15.40)
Exotics Use: #1 Strike Accord 10-1 3rd


8th: MSW, F&M-3+, 9.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 The Blonde Peque 3-1 6th
Best Value: #3 Acquisition 20-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Pleasant Cat 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #9 Industrial Policy 4-1 WON ($9.60)


9th OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 9f-IT (DD)

Superb group. Wow..

Best Value: #10 Strike Charmer 10-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Lady of Gold 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #4 Sustained 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #1 Path of Dreams 8-1 7th


10th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T

Compelled to think the 2nd time starters are better candidates here than the ones that have had chances. And watch for AE's if they draw in..

Best Value: #2 Ivana Pucker 12-1 9th
Next Best: #6 Uman Candy 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Bi Light of Day 8-1 8th
Super Add: #11 Utopian Wife 7-2 7th


<$50 P4 Play:

7: 9
8: 2-3-6-9
9: 1-3-4-10
10: 1-2-6-9-11

1x4x4x5 = 90 x .50 = $45


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 08-19-2013 at 05:01 PM.
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