Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > The Paddock
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

 
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Prev Previous Post   Next Post Next
  #20  
Old 06-16-2011, 09:29 AM
pweizer's Avatar
pweizer pweizer is offline
Fairgrounds
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Leominster, MA
Posts: 1,599
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind View Post
I don't agree. It gives you more room to play...that's all.

If anything, what it really exposes is just how hard these Pick-6s can be to hit. Take for instance the post earlier in this thread, where somebody says the basically ridiculous " I always throw in Jose Espinoza, " as if that would have made the ticket a winner. This silly notion disregards that doing so may well have added one horse to each of maybe four races....thus further ignoring how exponentially this grows a ticket. This is furthered by the idea that there was one horse missed that easily could have been your next use in a given race. However, this idea ignores how many races included a " next horse " and further ignores which " next horse " was being used before the other one. No race, or horse, lives in isolation in Pick-6 ticket construction.

Bottom line....more money gives you more coverage....period. Yes, it can be argued that one's construction didn't give you optimum coverage...but perhaps the person on the other side has a reasonable argument that disagrees. The smartest, and most successful, player I know does not subscribe to Crists A/B/C/x method. This doesn't make either wrong...it's up to each player to decide.

Yet another great thing about this game....many roads can lead to the right destination.
You are certainly right that a pick 6 is very hard to hit. Which is why it is supposed to be a high risk/high reward proposition.

My main point is that by putting so much money into the pool, even if they hit it, what can their ROI be as a result. If they hit yesterday, they would have managed to get 3-1 on their investment (and that is pre-tax). Aren't there better bets to be made every day that making such a high risk proposition?

I clearly get why Twinspires organizes it as it gets them serious additional handle. But the average person throwing $20 dollars into the pool with dreams of a life changing score will always come away dissapointed. If they hit it yesterday, that same person would have gotten about $60 and a W2-G.

Paul
Reply With Quote
 



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 04:31 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.