Interesting Info That Affects Your Derby Pick?

[philcski]

Originally Posted by the_fat_man

What's more important: getting an absolutely perfect setup with the last run in a collapsing race OR being on the correct lead (in the stretch)? It seems that horses win on the wrong lead all the time. Horses that can't win unless they get a perfect setup don't win otherwise, however.

Zito doesn't need to work anything out, as the horse changed nicely 2 races prior. This horse is a plug. The only thing it has going for it is that Zito has just about the biggest ass around; ass luck is apparently endless for him.

Getting a perfect setup, absolutely, is more important than being on the right lead.

Is he a plug, possibly. But basically this entire field is plugs- the favorite would have been 20-1 or 30-1 in a lot of Derbies. I don't know if this particular plug is good enough to win but I think he'll be grinding into the top 7 which means I'll be using him in exotics.