Early Breeders' Cup Projections...

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698

As dominating as Gorella's Beverly D was, one thing we are forgetting about is she closed into a very fast pace that day. In my opinion it helped her get the 1 3/16. They went 23 and 1, 46 and 4 and 1:11 flat for the first 3 quarters. By comparison, the million went 24 and 3, 50 and 1, 1:15 flat. Gorella would have been nowhere had she run in the million, and I doubt she will get a pace like that again in the F&M turf. Her best shot is in the mile in my opinion.

DaHoss,

I would never compare times from different races on Million day...that'll get you in trouble....Showing Up ran a much faster time than Cacique did yet Cacique ran by him like he was standing still in the Man o'War the other day...and two years ago Kitten's Joy ran faster than Powerscourt when winning the Secretariat, but we found out which horse was difinitively better the next year in the Million.....don't always judge times....

Also, I'd like to point out that Film Maker, whom many believe is definately in the top 5 turf fillies and mares maybe in the world, closed into that same fast pace yet she was still no match for Gorella who was closing with strides that were 2-to-1 better than Film Maker's....and she won easily under the wire..

I'm telling you, I'd bet ANYTHING 1 3/8 miles would not be an issue with her....