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Old 10-03-2009, 06:14 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 44,015
Default 10/3: Belmont Park (6th-11th)

Barry Abrams' 30-1 firster in the nightcap provided a wild ending to the double carry at Santa Anita Friday, and netted a single patron the whole P6 pool of $787,000. Up to that point, the skein had been very similar to Thursday's sequence with reasonable priced winners that would have been on many tickets, and the first five were all somewhere in my tabs including $11.40 Welken (Most Likely) and $15.00 Dextera (Best Value).

Though knocked out of the P6 chase on most tickets in the first leg by 4th choice 'Super Add' Don't Forget Mug ($19.40), I had a few backup tickets live for a conso going into the 8th. The Abrams debut miss had worked nicely for her bow, but there weren't any glaring 'include me' signs on her in a group that had a number of second timers whose first outs were OK.

Earlier at Belmont, the omission of Cavallo Pazzo from the 8th cost the $210 P4. But overall, it was a nice afternoon as the Arcadia action saw a string of exactas and trifectas and 3 rolling P3's. Hope you did well! Belmont's Jockey Club Gold Cup Day the obvious highlight today though wet weather threatens it and much of the Eastern half of the country.


BELMONT PARK


PRE-SCRATCHES


6th: 71st Beldame (G1), F&M-3+, 9f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Music Note 2-5 WON
Best Value: #1a (POE) Unbridled Belle 2-1 2nd


7th: 70th Vosburgh (G1), 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Fabulous Strike 1-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Go Go Shoot 6-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Munnings 7-2 3rd


8th: 32nd Flower Bowl (G1), F&M-3+, 10f-IT (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Dynaforce 7-2 6th
Next Best: #1 (POE) Carribean Sunset SCR
Best Value: #7 Moneycantbuymelove 4-1 4th
Super Add: #3 Pure Clan 3-1 WON


9th: 33rd Joe Hirsch Turf Classic (G1), 3+, 12f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 (POE) Gio Ponti 6-5 2nd
Best Value: #4 Telling 10-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Grand Couturier 5-2 3rd
Super Add: #3 Al Khali 12-1 5th


10th: 91st Jockey Club Gold Cup (G1), 3+, 10f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Summer Bird 2-1 WON
Next Best: #7 Quality Road 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #1 Sette E Mezzo 12-1 6th
Super Add: #4 Tizway 15-1 3rd


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 1-5
8: 1-4-7
9: 1-4-8
10: 1-3-4-7

2x3x3x4 = $72


11th: NYB-MSW, 3+, 1m-T (Super)

Most Likely: #3 Love and Havoc 5-1 5th
Best Value: #1 (POE) Spa City Fever 6-1 WON
Next Best: #4 SCR
Super Add: #5 SCR

OFF THE TURF: 3-14-8-13


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 10-04-2009 at 10:57 AM.
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