10/2: BEL ($31k C/O); OSA ($278k C/O)

[Kasept]

BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: NYB-MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Moon Drop 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #6 Lyrical Bobcat 4-1 9th
Next Best: #4 First Flute 7-2 WON
Exotics Use: #2 Picnic Rock 5-1 2nd


5th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f-T (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #9 Bon Marie 2-1 WON
Best Value: #10 Vettriano 8-1 8th
Next Best: #8 Riptide 4-1 6th
Super Add: #11 Baystreet Bully 10-1 5th


6th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 6f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #10 Amelia the Cat 8-1 7th
Most Likely: #4 Cat On a Quest 2-1 WON
Next Best: #1a (POE) Amber's Edge 5-1 2nd/3rd* (stablemate)
Exotics Use: #3 Island Breeze 3-1 4th (3rd for wagering)


7th: Shopping for Love-NYB, 3yo-F, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super)

Obvious key here will be Mother Russia and her ability to get away without pressure up front. Trio of multi-tactic Bush entrants leads one to think High Cry will go with the ML fave, with Cap the Thunder and stretchout player Elegant Bess potentially engaging the pace as well. Good betting affair challengingly situated for P6/P4 players..

Most Likely: #9 Akilina 6-1 WON
Next Best: #6 Mother Russia 3-1 4th
Best Value: #7 Elegant Bess 20-1 7th
Super Add: #4 Soave 12-1 6th


8th: S/HCP, 3+, 6f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Digger 5-2 6th
Best Value: #1 Starforaday 5-1 5th
Next Best: #7 Base Commander 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #4 Kaper Lake 8-1 4th


9th: NYB-MSW, 2yo-F, 7f-OFF THE TURF (Super)

Most Likely: #4 Poppy Day 4-1 7th
Best Value: #5 Precious Penny 12-1 6th
Next Best: #9 Spirit of Rose 5-1 WON
Super Add: #12 Great Gracie Dane 8-1 3rd


<$150 P6 Play:

4: 6-10
5: 9
6: 4-10
7: 6-9
8: 1-2-7
9: 4-5-9

2x1x2x2x3x3 = 72 x $2 = $144


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-4-10
7: 6-9
8: 1-2-7
9: 4-5-9-12

3x2x3x4 = $72



OAK TREE AT SANTA ANITA


PRE-SCRATCHES


3rd: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Waafi 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #2 Fiery Rebel 8-1 4th
Next Best: #9 Olympio's Jewel 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #7 Don't Forget Muq 9-2 WON

$1 Exacta (7-9) Paid $36.30
$1 Trifecta (7-9-3) Paid $115.60
.10 Superfecta (7-9-3-2) Paid $37.00


4th: MDN CLM, 3+, 8.5f (P5, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Ringolevio 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #1 Benjy's Pride 20-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Prize Play 9-2 WON
Super Add: #9 Fortunate Victory 8-1 3rd

$1 Exacta (7-6) Paid $13.10
$1 Trifecta (7-6-9) Paid $58.60


5th: CLM, F&M-3+, 6.5f-DHT (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Welken 7-2 WON
Best Value: #10 Pokomoke 6-1 9th
Next Best: #9 Silent Stalk 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #5 Hotrod Kelly 6-1 3rd

$1 Exacta (3-9) Paid $16.30
$1 Trifecta (3-9-5) Paid $81.90


6th: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Via Verde 9-5 2nd
Best Value: #3 Camp Victory 8-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Macias 5-2 WON
Super Add: #8 SCR


7th: CLM, 3yo-F, 1m-T (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Coatcheck Girl 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #6 Dextera 6-1 WON
Next Best: #5 There Goes Gee Gee 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #9 Kinesiology 9-2 6th

$1 Exacta (6-2) Paid $23.00
$1 Trifecta (6-2-5) Paid $118.50


8th: Cal-MDN CLM, 2yo-F, 6f (Super, Super High 5)

Best Value: #7 Duck River 6-1 8th
Next Best: #10 Word Association 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Heavens a Raging 6-1 7th
Super Add: #12 SCR
High 5 Play: #11 Top Seeded 8-1 3rd


<$200 P6 Play:

3: 2-3
4: 1-6-7-9
5: 3-9-10
6: 1-3
7: 2-6
8: 7

2x4x3x2x2x1 = 96 x $2 = $192



<$75 P4 Play:

5: 3-9-10
6: 1-3
7: 2-5-6
8: 7-8-10-12

3x2x3x4 = $72


Good luck!
Steve