8/29: Saratoga (Travers Day)

[Kasept]

Couldn't get 4th choice winners on P6 play in first two legs of carryover Friday, but then ran the table to end solid day. $28k payday on sextet was excellent return on fun sequence for those that negotiated the sequence. P4 score was humdrum, doubling investment at just under $150. Hope you did well.

Travers Day wet no matter how you look at it, with overnight rain and further showers a certainty. 1st, 5th and 13th OFF TURF so far, and more could come off yet. Gr. II Ballston Spa (9th) a near certainty to remain on... More later this a.m.


SARATOGA RACE COURSE


PRE-SCRATCHES


1st: NYB-ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-OFF THE TURF (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #13 Inherit the Gold 2-1 8th
Next Best: #12 Heavenly Blaze 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #8 Her Latest Flame 20-1 6th


2nd: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #9 Sheryl's Melody 10-1 8th
Most Likely: #3 Devil May Care 7-2 WON
Next Best: #1 SCR
Super Add: #10 Cautionary Tale 10-1 4th


3rd: MSW, 3+, 7f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Schneerson 2-1 WON
Best Value: #3 Soda Jerk 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 LATE SCR
Super Add: #6 Recruit 6-1 7th


4th: Lure, 3yo, 1m-IT (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #1 Mikoshi 6-1 2nd
Most Likely: #9 Strike Again 4-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Golden Mexico 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #10 Wicked Rich 20-1 9th


5th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 8.5f-OFF THE TURF (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Liscarroll 4-1 5th
Best Value: #2 Grand Stage 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 New York Holiday 8-1 WON
Super Add: #10 Stratos 20-1 7th


<$75 P4 Play:

2: 1-3-9-10
3: 2-3-8
4: 1-9
5: 1-2-5

4x3x2x3 = $72


6th: OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD, Super)

OFF THE TURF:

13-2nd
3-WON
14-5th
11-3rd


7th: 7th Victory Ride (Gr. III), 3yo-F, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Selva 4-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Sara Louise 2-1 WON
Best Value: #6 Step Out Smartly 10-1 8th
Exotics Use: #4 Sky Haven 8-1 4th


8th: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #2 Three Day Rush 12-1 4th
Most Likely: #1 Bulldogger 3-1 WON
Next Best: #11 No Truth Told 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #6 Our Dark Knight 15-1 2nd


<$75 P4 Play:

5: 1-7
6: 1-3-4-9
7: 7-8
8: 1-2-6-11

2x4x2x4 = $64


9th: 21st Ballston Spa (Gr. II), F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Rutherienne 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #2 My Princess Jess 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Cocoa Beach 2-1 4th
Super Add: #6 Captain's Lover 6-1 6th


10th: 31st Ballerina (Gr. I), F&M-3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Music Note 5-2 WON
Most Likely: #2 Informed Decision 2-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Indian Blessing 8-5 2nd


11th: 25th King's Bishop (Gr. I), 3yo, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Capt. Candyman Can 4-1 WON
Next Best: #8 Big Drama 3-1 6th
Best Value: #4 Not for Silver 15-1 5th
Exotics Use: #1e Godolphin-Darley entry 7-2 2nd-DQ/8th


12th: 140th Travers (Gr. I), 3yo, 10f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Summer Bird 3-1 WON
Next Best: #4 Quality Road 8-5 3rd
Best Value: #3 Warrior's Reward 8-1 5th
Super Add: #2 Charitable Man 6-1 4th


<$75 P4 Play:

9: 1-2-6-7
10: 1-2-4
11: 3-4-8
12: 4-6

4x3x3x2 = $72


13th: NYB-MSW, 3+, 8.5f-OFF THE TURF (Super)

Most Likely: #5 SCR
Best Value: #1e Kelly entry 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Whirlwind Poppy 7-2 WON
Super Add: #8 Pernice 4-1 6th


Good luck!
Steve