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#1
05-07-2009, 07:03 AM
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5/7: Belmont (4th-9th)
Got back $505 on 2 consolations for $216 Churchill P6 play when pair of top choices failed in marathon feature Wednesday. Coming into the day down $100, the sextet result put me exactly even for the sum of the "Derby experience". But it was hard to swallow the 5 of 6 beat seeing the $33,000 return the sequence produced. As discussed at Derby Trail and on ATR, a short field of four going 11f frequently produces odd pace scenarios, and Leparoux gave the Michelle Nihei-trained winner a heady ride. The race was a good spot for the all button, but that would have strained the budget. Hope you did well...
Finally am turning attention back to New York today, though as NYRA's Andy Serling reported last night, they will be off the turf today at Belmont. With the meat of the New York season now ahead of us, need to catch up on the 'senior circuit' quickly after focusing outside the NY ovals for nearly a month. BELMONT PARK POST-SCRATCHES NOTE: 4th, 5th and 7th are OFF THE TURF, so check for post-scratch revisions... 4th: MSW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-OFF THE TURF (P6, P3, DD) Most Likely: #1e Donk entry 5-1 2nd Best Value: #7 Discreet Empire 12-1 5th Next Best: #10 Mary's Song 7-2 4th Exotics Use: #6 Crema d'Oro 20-1 3rd 5th: NYB-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f-OFF THE TURF (G/S, P3, DD) Most Likely: # #1 Kitty Nip 5-1 7th Best Value: #10 Favorite Flavor 6-1 4th Next Best: #11 Kiss and Fly 4-1 5th Exotics Use: #9 Street Talk 12-1 3rd 6th: CLM, 3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD) Most Likely: #9 Super Shape 5-2 6th Next Best: #1a (POE) Air Lord 4-1 WON Best Value: #4 Saratoga Lullaby 15-1 5th Exotics Use: #10 Bill Place 12-1 4th 7th: NYB-OC/N2X, 3+, 6f-OFF THE TURF (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #14 SCR Next Best: #13 Drowning Bear 3-1 2nd Best Value: #4 Platinum Couple 12-1 6th Super Add: #15 Motor Patrol 8-1 WON 8th: Nasty and Bold, 3+, 12f (DD) Most Likely: #3 Delosvientos 7-5 5th Next Best: #5 Alcomo 3-1 2nd Best Value: #4 Eldaafer 12-1 3rd 9th: NYB-MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 1m (Super) Most Likely: #7 Runnin On Guilt 3-1 WON Next Best: #1 Saarlandisourland 9-2 4th Best Value: #8 Asscher Cut 20-1 6th Super Add: #5 Wonsome 5-1 7th <$75 P4 Play: 6: 1-4-9 7: 4-13-15 8: 2-3-4-5 9: 1-7 3x3x4x2 = $72 $1 P4 (1-15-2-7) Paid $1,040.50 Good luck! Steve
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 05-07-2009 at 04:40 PM. 
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