4/18 (KEE): Lexington (GII); Giant's Causeway

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Originally Posted by the_fat_man

How do you come up with this assessment? Anything remotely approaching a decent trip, anything near what the top 2 in the race got, and SQ gallops.

Name a horse that would've won under those conditions.

If you can't readily think of one, then maybe SQ was fit and didn't need the race. He just got abused by the trip.

SQ was short the way Bernardini was short in the BC.

It's an educated assumption, he made a big move and then flattened out, if he was 100% tight he would have won the race despite the trip which in no way am I disputing. They probably left something in the tank so he can still peak for the Derby, it doesn't make any sense to squeeze the stone dry to win the Lexington when he had enough earnings already. O'Neill's too sharp to do that.