Santa Anita - 1/31

[the_fat_man]

Originally Posted by SCUDSBROTHER

That horse(UTAHN) usually has a big middle move, and then is just o.k. in the stretch. Doesn't really have "any extra" (as the guy from Arlington would say.) You're right though(it isn't pretty to see him give up that easily.) That horse has a great move into the turn. He should use that to get the lead(probably wouldn't of held that way either, but there's no way he can win if he doesn't make the lead by the top of the stretch.)

This horse is NOT a hanger. He's just always asked too soon; and he isn't the gamest of horses. He needs to be ridden one of two ways:

1) DON'T MOVE HIM TOO SOON --- no reason to bid midturn (either last time or today)

2) if he's moved early BUST HIM and RIDE HIM hard to the wire

If he makes the lead prematurely and holds decently in a race that collapses badly going 6.5F (last out), it follows that he should win on the cutback to 6F. Unless, of course, idiots are involved in the equation and negate this advantage.

It doesn't matter; he's 9:1 and worth a bet.