football gambling tonight

[philcski]

how exactly are the broncos a 3 point favorite in this game? last time they played, last december, the raiders pounded them pretty comfortably, neither team has changed materially since (if anything, the addition of mcfadden, a potential stud, swings it even more in the raiders' favor) and we saw yesterday the power of homefield advantage. i have a (confirmed) theory that the raiders are consistently the worst team ATS long-term because vegas shades their lines against them, since the legions of raider fans show up en masse to the sportsbook and ALWAYS bet their team. that said, what am i missing here???