8/7: Saratoga (Day 14)

[Kasept]

Beautiful day at the ol' Spa Wednesday despite the threatening forecast, but a rough afternoon of wagering with little going my way. Potential for rain this afternoon, but best to simply ignore the hapless meteorologists. Hope you did OK Wednesday.. the Thursday card is hardly thrilling but features a tough to beat heavy favorite in the NYB feature that helps simplify the Late P4 and P6.


SARATOGA RACE COURSE

PRE-SCRATCHES

1st: A. P. Smithwick (Gr. II), 4+, 16.5f-Nat'l Fences (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #9 SALFORD CITY 7-2
Best Value: #3 Class Shadiow 12-1
Next Best: #10 Mixed Up 3-1
Super Add: #2 Guelph 4-1


2nd: HCP/S, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Wild Geese 5-2
Best Value: #6 Japengo 5-1
Next Best: #5 Hesogoodwithmoney 2-1


3rd: CLM/N3L, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Bridled Path 7-2
Best Value: #6 Amongooseamongus 8-1
Next Best: #4 Abby Morgan 5-2


4th: NYB-MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Special Detail 12-1
Most Likely: #4 Quietly Bold 4-1
Next Best: #2 High Cry 5-2
Exotics Use: #1 Freedom Rings 4-1


5th: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P6, P3, DD)

Why is there no Super here?

Most Likely: #9 Justwhistledixie 7-2
Best Value: #7 Spell Check 8-1
Next Best: #2 In Fine Fettle 10-1
Exotics Use: #1e Asmussen entry 5-1


<$100 P4 Play:

2: 1-5-6
3: 3-4-5-6
4: 4-6
5: 1-2-7-9

3x4x2x4 = $96


6th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 9f-IT (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

OFF THE TURF-LATE

Most Likely: #3 Lucky Will 5-1
Best Value: #2 Academy Royale 15-1
Next Best: #6 Youbethecan 3-1
Super Add: #5 SCR


7th: NYB-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

OFF THE TURF-LATE

Most Likely: #3 SCR
Best Value: #4 Mia 10-1
Next Best: #5 Zip by You 5-2
Super Add: #9 My Anna Rose 10-1


8th: NYB-ALW/N1X, 3+, 9f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Theartofcompromise 3-1
Best Value: #8 Top Leader 12-1
Next Best: #5 Trust Nobody 5-2
Super Add: #7 Fortune Faded 5-1


9th: Statue of Liberty, NYB-3yo F, 8.5f-IT (DD)

OFF THE TURF-LATE

Most Likely: #3 SCR
Best Value: #2 Study Abroad 8-1
Next Best: #5 Western Slang 3-1


10th: NYB-OC/N2X, 3+, 5.5f-T (Super)

OFF THE TURF-LATE

Most Likely: #1 (POE) Silver Timber 5-2
Best Value: #3 Inside Info 15-1
Next Best: #10 Elusive Fox 4-1
Super Add: #4 Timberah 6-1


Good luck!
Steve