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Old 08-06-2006, 08:20 AM
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Dunbar Dunbar is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: May 2006
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Quote:
Originally Posted by GPK
the field is now +142 as of this morning.
At +142, the breakeven point for comparing the 2 ways to bet against Artie is when Artie is 0.77 to 1. If Artie is 4-5 or higher, it is better to take the Pinny prop. If Artie is lower than 3-5, it is better to bet against Artie at the track. Between 3-5 and 4-5, it depends on which side of 0.77 you are.

I'm not advocating betting against him, just working on GPK's question. I've now got a spreadsheet that will make analyzing this kind of choice easier in the future.

--Dunbar
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Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar
photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson
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