Bernadini/the reason for my doubts

[ceejay]

Albertrani didn't bet Songster down to .15:1: The public did.
Albertrani didn't say that his horse had an 87% chance to win: The public did.

Saying that a horse is ready is not the same as guaranteeing a win. These are animals not deterministic models! The horse got caught near the wire. It's horse racing, not a money market fund.

Regarding Bernardini I have one comment: 114. That number makes him competitive with all comers in the handicap division (and I throw out SinMin's 116 as Keeneland-aided), but we'll see how it pans out against elders....
http://www.drf.com/drfLeaderBoard.do?category=beyer