11/3: CD P4; SA-Cal Cup

[Kasept]

Was still smarting from missing AQU P4 Thursday and took Friday off to decompress. Thought highly enough of Classic Marilyn to include as exotics fodder but left her off a $54 play that was sent in and missed a $1,200+ hit. Ouch.. Cal Cup at Santa Anita Saturday, and pair of quality stakes at the Downs as part of a tricky Late P4..


CHURCHILL DOWNS


8th: MSW, F&M-3+, 6f (DD, P3, P4, Super)

Best Value: #1 Over Under 6-1 4th
Most Likely: #12 Whitefish 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 South Atlantic 3-1 6th
Super Add: #11 Somethingintheway 30-1 2nd


9th: The Ack Ack H. (Gr. III), 3+, 1m (DD, P3, Super)

Best Value: #3 Simon Pure 5-1 7th
Most Likely: #8 Sun King 9-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Istan 5-2 WON
Super Add: #4 Casino Evil 10-1 DNF


10th: The Chilukki (Gr. II), F&M-3+, 1m (DD, Super)

Best Value: #3 High Heels 6-1 2nd
Most Likely: #1 Rolling Sea 3-1 WON
Exotics Use: #7 Windy 7-2 5th
Super Add: #4 Change Up 6-1 4th


11th: ALW/N2X, F&M-3+, 8.5f (Super)

Best Value: #9 Warrior Girl 8-1 5th
Most Likely: #7 Sans Reward 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 April Frost 7-2 WON
Super Add: #2 Transmit 8-1 4th


@$50 P4 Play:

8: 1-9-12
9: 3-5-8
10: 1-3
11: 3-7-9 (P3 $47)

3x3x2x3 = $54



SANTA ANITA


3rd: Cal Cup Juv. Fillies, 2yo-F, 8.5f (DD, P3, Super)

Best Value: #4 Ice Lady 8-1 4th
Most Likely: #3 Runforthemoneybaby 9-5 WON
Exotics Use: #1 Cantina's Rose 3-1 6th
Super Add: #8 Love Ya Bye 5-1 7th


4th: Cal Cup Distance H., F&M-3+, 10f-T (DD, P3, Super)

Best Value: #3 Fortunate Event 8-1 8th
Most Likely: #2 IMAGINE 7-5 WON
Exotics Use: #9 Memorette 2-1 9th
Super Add: #8 Special Heather 5-1 7th


5th: Cal Cup Matron H., F&M-3+, 8.5f (DD, P3, Super)

Best Value: #5 Fun Logic 8-1 8th
Most Likely: #2 Somethinaboutlaura 2-1 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Bai and Bai 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #4 Film Editor 15-1 6th


6th: Cal Cup Distaff H., F&M-3+, 6.5f-DHT (DD, P3, P6, Super)

Best Value: #6 Kalookan Dancer 10-1 10th
Most Likely: #8 Dancing Edie 5-2 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Excessiveobsession 12-1 3rd
Super Add: #3 Lady Gamer 3-1 2nd


7th: Cal Cup Juvenile, 2yo, 8.5f (DD, P3, Super)

Best Value: #8 Wise Mandate 10-1 13th
Most Likely: #5 Sierra Sunset 8-1 WON
Exotics Use: #10 Harlene 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #9 Youarefun 15-1 9th


8th: Cal Cup Sprint H., 3+, 6f (DD, P3, P4, Super)

Best Value: #4 Areyoutalkintome 10-1 3rd
Most Likely: #3 Bilo 5-2 WON
Exotics Use: #1 Johnny Eves 7-2 7th
Super Add: #6 Bonfante 3-1 2nd


9th: Cal Cup Mile H., 3+, 1m-T (DD, P3, Super)

Best Value: #5 Jacks Wild 5-1 4th
Most Likely: #1 Epic Power 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Super Strut 6-1 9th
Super Add: #2 Now Victory 6-1 10th


10th: Cal Cup Classic H., 3+, 9f (Super)

Best Value: #5 Tiz Afire 12-1 8th
Most Likely: #10 Lava Man 7-5 6th
Exotics Use: #11 Bold Chieftan 9-2 WON
Super Add: #4 Celtic Dreamin 6-1 2nd


11th: MSW, 3+, 6.5f-DHT (Super)

Best Value: #5 Skimmetry 6-1 3rd
Most Likely: #11 Brian the Bold 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Warren's Scooter 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #2 Sacred Mountain 15-1 6th


<$100 P6 Play:

6: 5-6-8
7: 5-8
8: 3
9: 1-5
10: 5-10
11: 5-11

3x2x1x2x2x2 = 48 x $2 = $96


<$50 P4 Play:

8: 3-4
9: 1-5
10: 5-10-11
11: 2-3-5-11

2x2x3x4 = $48


Good luck!
Steve