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Old 07-29-2007, 12:47 PM
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mes5107 mes5107 is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Jewett City, CT
Posts: 394
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My 5 clockings of the Go For Wand:
1:49.50
1:49.41
1:49.28
1:49.34
1:49.25

I believe the track was rather fast, but the Go For Wand was run rather slow. I agree that Lawyer Ron probably did not earn a 128, but a 120 is not out of the question. Perhaps we should use Diamond Stripes as a projection horse at about a 106. That would give Lawyer Ron a 115 which is 23 points off of the raw figure of 138. Applying that variant to Ginger Punch would leave her running a 91.

If we use an average of both projections for the variant (-10 and -23) we get an average variant of -17. That gives Lawyer Ron a 121 and Ginger Punch a 97.

I think the times were right.
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