Hard Spun & Belmont Distance

[the_fat_man]

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS

I laughed! Too funny.

Culin hasn't been asked to a do a thing in the morning since Asmussen got him...he's basically trained him for stamina and endurance since the moment he got him.

When he got the horse about three and a half months ago, he got a horse who'd just won a MSW sprint race in wire-to-wire fashion, in supersonic time.

Through Asmussen's "Quarter horse training" -- he's managed to turn what looked like a speed sprinter/miler, into a deep closing router....who was 13 lengths off the pace in the Preakness, inspite of constant urging from his rider to try to get him to pick it up.

Well stated, DrugS

In track (bike) racing, the rider who can push the bigger gear has a huge advantage. While he can go faster than the other cyclists while spinning less RPMs, he also needs to be stronger and have more stamina in order to push the bigger gear. Given enough distance of ground, and assuming an UNobstructed path, this rider will always win. The others might spin smoother and quicker than he can but in the long run he'll be going the fastest. Simple physics.

And that's exactly what happened in the Preakness. Curlin took a long time to get into gear. Despite lagging early, a needlessly wide trip, and taking longer to change in the lane than the others, when he finally got that big gear moving, it was all over. That was a TURF TYPE late move on the dirt.

Now, how does this horse lose in the Belmont? There won't be a 20 horse obstacle course (like the Derby). Hard Spun can go as slow or as fast as he wants. If he goes too fast, he's cooked. If he goes too slow, when it comes time to sprint in the lane, he can't match the bigger gear pusher.

Simple as that.