7/20: Saratoga (Honorable Miss)

[Kasept]

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Eliminate 7-5: Way the horse to beat..
Best Value: #1 Kigali 8-1
Next Best: #7 Scheduling Dude 6-1


5th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 9f (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Standoutsensation 5-1: May have been the wet, but race 2 back wins here..
Next Best: #5 Catherine Wheel 8-5
Exotics Use: #7 Into Amore 4-1
Super Add: #3 Bee De Yah 10-1


6th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Miztertonic 8-5: Rarely want fave in NYB's long/turf, but hard to argue here..
Best Value: #4 Outtawaterbury 8-1
Next Best: #7 Charles J 9-2
Exotics Use: #5 Coach Case 2-1


7th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f-Inner (P4, P3, DD)

Very tricky read with few easy tosses..

Most Likely: #1 Belouni 5-2
Best Value: #3 Zverev 10-1
Next Best: #5 Tidal Forces 5-1
Exotics Use: #4 Summer in Adriane 6-1


P4 Grid:

4: 6 (A), 1 (B), - (C)
5: 5-7-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 2-4 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 1-3-5 (A), 2-4-7 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x2x6 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 1x3x2x3 = 18 x .50 = $9


8th: OC/S-ALW, 3yo-F, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely #2 Geez Louise 9-2
Next Best: #1 Golden Irish 5-1
Exotics Use: #9 Melle Mel 5-1
Super Add: #4 Theprincessfactor 4-1


9th: Honorable Miss (G2), F&M-4+, 6F (DD)

BEAT BYK ~ WEEK 2: www.ntra.com/nhc/beatbyk/

Best Value: #7 Striker Has Dial 5-1 ~ DePaula Play of the Day
Next Best: #2 R Disaster 9-2
Exotics Use: #3 Scylla 2-1
Super Add: #9 Jody's Pride 4-1




10th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T

Best Value: #6 Phoebeinwonderland 6-1
Next Best: #5 Yougottahavehope 2-1
Exotics Use: #1 Quick Power Nap 9-2
Super Add: #4 Miss Bourbon 9-2


P5 Grid:

6: 2 (A), 4 (B), - (C)
7: 1-3-5 (A), - (B), 2-4-7 (C)
8: 1-2 (A), 4-9 (B), - (C)
9: 2-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 1-5-6 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x4x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 1x3x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (ACAAA): 1x3x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 (2-4-7 in 7th)


P4 Grid:

7: 1-3-5 (A), 2-4-7 (B), - (C)
8: 1-2 (A), 4-9 (B), - (C)
9: 2-7 (A), - (B), 3-9 (C)
10: 1-5-6 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x4x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 3x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AACA): 3x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 (3-9 in 9th)


Let's get lucky!
Steve