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Old 07-03-2025, 04:32 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,935
Default 7/3: Opening Day ~ Saratoga (5th-11th)

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: MSW-R, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Two by Two by Two 9-2 ~ Rock Your World 3 for 7 (!) with firsters so far.. 7th
Next Best: #2 Iron Orchard 9-5 WON ($3.20)
Best Value: #8 Winrooski 15-1 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Dolce Vino 8-1 3rd


7th: OC/S-ALW, 3+, 5.5f-T (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Doctor Jeff 9-2 ~ Appleton (1m) was out of this one's range.. 5th
Next Best: #6 Maya Prince 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Hilarious Affair 5-1 8th
Super Add: #3 Chess Master 7-2 WON ($7.40)


8th: Wild Applause, 3yo-F, 1m-Inner (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Classic Q 4-1 ~ Very little pace signed on; Casse filly's 4/30 CD score would suffice here.. WON ($5.30)
Best Value: #1 Fixin to Bee 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Play With Fire 9-5 2nd
Super Add: #2 Love and Poetry 8-1 6th


9th: CLM, 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Swaggish 6-1 ~ Off the claim, working sharply and comes back protected.. 2nd
Next Best: #5 Margin of Air 8-5 WON ($4.60)
Exotics Use: #1 Fromanothamutha 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #8 Sundaeswithsandy 7-2 6th


10th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (DD)

Best Value: #5 Quiet Confidence 8-1 ~ Ryerson charge popped off break; Repeat takes this.. WON ($17.80)
Next Best: #3 La Salvadorena 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Leslie's Humor Late SCR
Super Add: #6 You Decide 8-1 9th


11th: MSW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-Inner

So Darn Pretty needs to take another step forward to win versus some nice prospects, but Russell gets those kinds of moves and Saez a great fit for sprinty type stretching out. Prominent throughout at a big number..

Best Value: #10 So Darn Pretty 15-1 ~ Depaula Play of the Day WON ($27.40)
Next Best: #5 Key Actress 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Bint Al Dindy 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #8 Cliffs 9-2 5th


P5 Grid:

7: 5-6 (A), 3-7 (B), - (C)
8: 5 (A), 1 (B), 2-6 (C)
9: 1-2-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 3-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 2-5-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x3x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x1x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (ACAAA): 2x1x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 (2-6 in 8th)

$0.50 Late Pick 5 (2,3,10-13/3,5,8/5/5/10) Paid $3,404.00


P4 Grid:

8: 1-5 (A), 2-6 (B), 4-7 (C)
9: 1-2-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 3-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 2-5-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 2x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (CAAA): 2x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 (4-7 in 8th)

$0.50 Pick 4 (3,5,8/5/5/10) Paid $537.50 (A-A-A-A)


Let's get lucky!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 07-03-2025 at 06:53 PM.
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