10/5: Bel/Big A ($25k C/O); Keeneland (4th-11th); Santa Anita (6th-10th)

[Kasept]

BELMONT AT AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: Jockey Club Derby (G3), 3yo, 11f-T (Must Pay P5, P3, DD)

Legend of Time is coming out which leaves a quirky pace scenario. Not confident about any one player..

Best Value: #5 Deterministic 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #6 El Rezeen 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Carson's Run 5-2 WON ($5.00)
Super Add: #2 Dashman 8-1 4th


6th: Belmont Turf Sprint (G3), 3+, 6f-Outer (P4, P3, DD)

Murderously difficult three-quarters dash with a host of rock solid candidates including several looking to break through at upper echelon like Maya Prince, Mischievous Angel, Senbei and Axthelm..

Best Value: #4 Maya Angel 12-1 8th
Next Best: #7 Determined Kingdom 10-1 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Senbei 5-1 WON ($10.00)
Super Add: #1 Axthelm 6-1 7th


7th: Frizette (G1), 2yo-F, 1m (X-C 2yo P5, P6, P3, DD)

Shelving of Senza Parole makes this wide open. Note MDN's Snowyte & Scottish Lassie exit MSW that produced Quickick who was a solid 2nd to Immersive in yesterday's Alcibiades..

Most Likely: #1 Snowyte 6-1 2nd
Best Value: #5 Scottish Lassie 15-1 WON ($15.00)
Next Best: #3 Pondering 12-1 7th
Exotics Use: #10 Icona Mama 15-1 5th


Future Stars Cross Country P5 Grid:

BAQ 7 (3:17p): 1-3-5 (A), 2-9-10 (B), - (C) ~ Frizette
BAQ 8 (3:49p): 2-10 (A), - (B), - (C) ~ Champagne
SA 3 (5:00p): 8 (A), - (B), - (C) ~ Oak Leaf
KEE 9 (5:16p): 1-6 (A), 5-10 (B), - (C) ~ Futurity
SA 9 (8:00p): 1-3-7 (A), - (B), - (C) ~ Pharoah

Simple (A+B): 6x2x1x4x3 = $144
All A's: 3x2x1x2x3 = $36

$1 PICK FIVE (5/5,10/1,2,8/5/3) Paid $527.50


8th: Champagne (G1), 2yo, 1m (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Chancer McPatrick more than backed up flashy debut rally in hair-raising Hopeful and there's plenty of speed signed on here to help his off the pace effort. Pletcher on the attack with Tip Top Thomas who exits one of Spa's top rated baby heats and Uncaged who performed with aplomb in wet debut. Vekoma Rides and Executive Order graduated without early leads and offer value. Dallas Stewart and Valene Farms have a unique Louisiana-bred G1 double opportunity with Smoken Wicked here and in the Futurity at KEE with Dapper Moon..

Most Likely: #10 Chancer McPatrick 6-5 WON ($3.10)
Best Value: #6 Vekoma Rides 8-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Tip Top Thomas 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Executive Order 15-1 7th


9th: OC/S-ALW, 3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

For multi-race purposes, modest budgets may have to rely on Transactional, because if it's not him, it could be any of the next 6-7..

Most Likely: #3 Transactional 2-1 7th
Best Value: #11 Addicted to You 15-1 11th
Next Best: #7 Miztertonic 12-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Barnstorming 12-1 6th


P5 Grid:

5: 3-5-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 4-7 (A), 1-5 (B), - (C)
7: 1-3-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 10 (A), 6 (B), 2-9 (C)
9: 3-11 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x3x2x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x2x3x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AAACA): 3x2x3x2x2 = 72 x .50 = $36 (2-9 in 8th)


P4 Grid:

6: 4-7 (A), 1-5 (B), - (C)
7: 1-3-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 6-10 (A), - (B), 2-9 (C)
9: 3-11 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24
All A's: 2x3x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (AAACA): 2x3x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 (2-9 in 8th)


10th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Material Girl 8-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Off Script 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #6 Bam's Bliss Kiss 12-1 WON ($23.40)
Exotics Use: #2 Endless Vow 10-1 7th


11th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 6f-Outer (DD)

Best Value: #8 Vacation Dance 12-1 4th
Next Best: #1 (POE) Scuttlebuzz 6-1 11th/5th
Exotics Use: #9 Yarrow 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #4 Russi 6-1 6th


12th: MCLM/$40k, 3+, 8.5f-T

Most Likely: #5 Chasing Mo Money 9-2 6th
Next Best: #1 Steadfast Resolve 5-2 WON ($5.30)
Best Value: #10 Bolt d'Plata 12-1 9th
Exotics Use: #9 Hurricane Express 5-1 3rd


P6 Grid:

7: 1-3-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 10 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 3-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 3-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 1-8-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
12: 1-5 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 3x1x2x2x3x2 = $72


P5 Grid:

8: 10 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 3-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 3-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 1-8-4-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
12: 1-5-9-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 1x2x2x4x4 = 64 x .50 = $32


P4 Grid:

9: 3-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 3-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 1-8-4-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
12: 1-5-9-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 1x2x2x4x4 = 64 x .50 = $32


Let's get lucky!
Steve