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Old 03-29-2024, 04:19 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 42,702
Default 3/30: Gulfstream (4th-14th); Oaklawn (6th-13th; X-C P5)

GULFSTREAM PARK ~ FLORIDA DERBY DAY


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: OC/N1X, 4+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Rotterdam 4-1 9th
Next Best: #6 Read On 5-1 5th
Best Value: #10 Mutaawid 30-1 10th
Exotics Use: #12 Sir London 6-1 WON ($11.60)


5th: MSW, 3yo, 7f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Six Kings 4-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Mindframe 7-2 WON ($4.20)
Best Value: #7 Ponce de Leon 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #10 Idoneo 5-1 10th


6th: Pan American (G2), 4+, 12f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Kertez 2-1 WON ($6.00)
Next Best: #6 Tawny Port 9-5 3rd
Best Value: #3 Lucky Curlin 12-1 5th
Exotics Use: #4 Street Ready 10-1 7th


7th: Ghostzapper (G3), 4+, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Lure Him In 6-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Steal Sunshine 9-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Donegal Forever 6-1 5th
Super Add: #5 Tumbarumba 2-1 2nd


P4 Grid:

4: 1-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 4-6-7-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 2-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 1-5-6-8 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 2x4x2x4 = 64 x .50 = $32


8th: Sanibel Island, 3yo-F, 7.5f-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Destiny Star 20-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Hello Hollywood 9-2 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Ozara 8-5 2nd
Super Add: #9 Pharoah's Wine 7-2 7th


9th: Sir Shakleton, 4+, 7f (Rainbow 6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Shaq Diesel 6-1 8th
Next Best: #6 Oscar Eclipse 4-1 WON ($7.80)
Exotics Use: #7 Ticking 15-1 7th
Super Add: #8 Dreaming of Kona 12-1 2nd


P5 Grid:

5: 4-6 (A), 7-10 (B), - (C)
6: 2-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 1-6 (A), 5-8 (B), - (C)
8: 1-7-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 5-6 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x4x3x2 = 192 x .50 = $96
All A's: 2x2x2x3x2 = 48 x .50 = $24


10th: Orchid (G3), F&M-4+, 12f-T ($3 Turf P3/10-12-13, P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 La Mehana 2-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 McKulick 8-5 WON ($4.60)
Exotics Use: #4 Surprisingly 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #8 Anatolian 8-1 4th


P5 Grid:

7: 1-6 (A), 5-8 (B), - (C)
8: 1-7-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 5-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 1-6 (A), 4-8 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x2x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x3x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12


11th: Gulfstream Oaks (G2), 3yo-F, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Ways and Means 8-5 2nd
Best Value: #8 Fiona's Magic 6-1 8th
Next Best: #5 Into Champagne 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Gun Song 4-1 4th


12th: Sand Springs, F&M-4+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Marketsegmentation 7-5 5th
Best Value: #9 Fast as Flight 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Candy Light 5-1 8th
Exotics Use: #5 Fuente Ovejuna 15-1 3rd


$3 TURF P3 Grid:

10: 1-4-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
12: 8-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
13: 3-4-6 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 3x2x3 = 18 x $3 = $54


13th: Appleton, 4+, 1m-T (DD)

Most Likely: #3 Ice Chocolat 9-2 7th
Best Value: #6 Quality G 12-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Big Everest 7-2 9th
Exotics Use: #5 Never Surprised 5-1 5th


14th: Florida Derby (G1), 3yo, 9f (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #10 Fierceness 8-5 WON ($4.20)
Next Best: #2 Hades 7-2 5th
Best Value: #5 Real Macho 20-1 8th
Exotics Use: #9 Conquest Warrior 3-1 4th


P5 Grid:

10: 1-6 (A), 4-8 (B), - (C)
11: 4-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
12: 8-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
13: 3-6 (A), 4-5 (B), - (C)
14: 2-10 (A), - (B), 1-5-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x2x4x2 = 128 x .50 = $64
All A's: 2x2x2x2x2 = 32 x .50 = $16
Backup (AAAAC): 2x2x2x2x3 = 48 x .50 = $24 (1-5-9 in 14th)


P4 Grid:

11: 4-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
12: 8-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
13: 3-6 (A), 4-5 (B), - (C)
14: 2-5-10 (A), 1-9 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x2x4x5 = 80 x .50 = $40
All A's: 2x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12


Good luck!
Steve
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A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
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Last edited by Kasept : 03-30-2024 at 09:36 PM.
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