3/11: Tampa (5th-12th; Cross Country P5)

[Kasept]

TAMPA BAY DOWNS ~ CROSS COUNTRY P5


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: H'cap, F&M-4+, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #5 Tap Dance Fever 5-1 WON ($9.40)
Best Value: #4 Take a Stand 10-1 7th
Next Best: #2 Sterling Silver 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Olivia Darling 6-1 2nd


6th: MSW, 3yo-F, 6f (Ultimate 6, P3, DD, Hi-5)

BOTH AE's draw in and are live..

Most Likely: #14 Rosario's Prayer 9-2 6th
Next Best: #3 Ms. Bucchero 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #13 Missmollyorbit 12-1 8th
Exotics Use: #11 Dream Concert 6-1 WON ($19.40)


7th: Columbia, 3yo, 1m-T (All STK P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Fun group with many, many options..

Most Likely: #10 Talk of the Nation 4-1 WON ($4.40)
Best Value: #6 Summer Bee 30-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Freedom Trail 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #9 Mo Stash 7-2 2nd


8th: Challenger (G3), 4+, 8.5f (All STK P4, p3, DD, Hi-5)

SCR Classic Causeway..

Most Likely: #2 Skippylongstocking 8-5 WON ($3.00)
Next Best: #1 Trademark 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #8 Business Model 6-1 4th
Super Add: #7 Tax 4-1 2nd


P4 Grid:

5: 5 (A), - (B), 2-4 (C)
6: 3-13-14 (A), 7-11 (B), - (C)
7: 1-6-9-10 (A), 2-3-5 (B), - (C)
8: 2 (A), - (B), 1-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x5x7x1 = $35
All A's: 1x3x4x1 = $12
Backups: 2x3x4x1 = 24 x .50 = $12 (2-4 in 5th) + 1x3x4x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 (1-8 in 8th)

$1 Pick 4 (5/11/7,10/2,4,9) $169.70


TAMPA 9th: Hillsborough (G2), F&M-4+, 9f-T (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Cross Country P5 starts here..

Best Value: #2 Surprisingly 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Rougir 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Shantisara 2-1 WON ($4.00)
Super Add: #3 Temple City Terror 6-1 4th


TAMPA 10th: Florida Oaks (G3), 3yo-F, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Hi-5)

If Free Look isn't ready first of the bench, this will get nutso..

Most Likely: #10 Free Look 2-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Navy Goat 6-1 11th
Best Value: #9 Mohawk Trail 20-1 9th
Exotics Use: #7 Stephanie's Charm 15-1 8th


AQUEDUCT 9th:

Most Likely: #1 Rossa Veloce 6-5 WON ($2.90)
Best Value: #5 Easy to Bless 6-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Prodigy Doll 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Secret Love 8-1 6th


TAMPA 11th: Tampa Bay Derby (G3), 3yo, 8.5f (DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #6 Tapit Trice 8-5 WON ($3.00)
Next Best: #3 Classic Legacy 6-1 3rd
Best Value: #2 Classic Car Wash 8-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Groveland 6-1 8th


P5 Grid:

7: 1-6-9-10 (A), 2-3-5 (B), - (C)
8: 2 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 2-4-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 6-7-9-10 (A), 1-3 (B), 2-5-12 (C)
11: 6 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 7x1x3x6x1 = 126 x .50 = $63
All A's: 4x1x3x4x1 = 48 x .50 = $24
Backup: 4x1x3x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18 (2-5-12 in 10th)

$0.50 Pick 5 (7,10/2,4,9/6/1/6) Paid $184.70


P4 Grid:

8: 2 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 2-3-4-6 (A), 1-5-7 (B), - (C)
10: 6-7-9-10 (A), 1-3 (B), 2-5-12 (C)
11: 6 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x7x6x1 = $42
All A's: 1x4x4x1 = $16
Backup: 1x4x3x1 = $12 (2-5-12 in 10th)

$1 Pick 4 (2,4,9/6/1/6) Paid $62.40


OAKLAWN 9th: Azeri (G2), F&M-4+, 8.5f (DD)

Most Likely: #1 Secret Oath 5-2 WON ($4.80)
Next Best: #3 Clairiere 6-5 2nd
Best Value: #4 Le Da Vida 15-1 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Hot and Sultry 20-1 4th


CROSS COUNTRY P5 Grid:

TAM 9: 2-6-4 (A), 1-3-5-7 (B), - (C)
TAM 10: 6-9-10 (A), 1-3-7 (B), 2-5-12 (C)
AQU 9: 1-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
TAM 11: 6 (A), - (B), - (C)
OP 9: 1-3 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 7x6x2x1x2 = 168 x .50 = $84
All A's: 3x3x2x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: 3x3x2x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (2-5-12 in TAM 10th)

$0.50 Pick 5 (6/1/1,8/6/1) Paid $153.50


12th: MSW, 3yo-F, 1m-T (Hi-5)

Those that have run look pretty much the same. Feels like the Brown & Clement firsters merit the edge..

Most Likely: #9 Royalty Interest 3-1 WON ($5.00)
Best Value: #2 Volatility 8-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Gotham Grey 6-1 7th
Exotics Use: #10 Lil Miss Moonlight 8-1


P4 Grid:

9: 2-4-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 6-7-9-10 (A), 1-3 (B), 2-5-12 (C)
11: 6 (A), - (B), - (C)
12: 2-9 (A), 7-10 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x6x1x4 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 3x4x1x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup: 3x3x1x2 = 18 x .50 = $9

$0.50 Pick 4 (6/1/6/1,9,12,13,14) $69.05


Good luck!
Steve