1/15: Santa Anita ($418k Must Pay P6 C/O)

[Kasept]

SANTA ANITA


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: CA-MCLM/$50k, 3yo, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Sure looks like the firsters are the key players, though note that as bad as his form looks, Real Pouch (30-1) possesses (and has shown) speed and is a new gelding. Could forget to stop..

Most Likely: #2 Big Gun 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Smiling Goodbye 5-2 4th
Best Value: #6 Real Pouch 30-1 7th
Exotics Use: #8 Arthur Spooner 3-1 2nd


6th: CA-Turf Classic, 4+, 9f-T (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Indian Peak a universal good thing given recent graded stakes placement, but I don't think he 'has to win'..

Most Likely: #8 Indian Peak 3-1 6th
Best Value: #1 Whooping Jay 6-1 7th
Next Best: #5 Camino Del Paraiso 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Ferrariano 12-1 2nd


7th: CA-OC/N1X, 4+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #2 Scary Fast Smile 7-2 4th
Next Best: #8 Crash Corrigan 7-2 WON ($8.00)
Best Value: #3 Rookie Mistake 12-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Admirably 4-1 3rd


8th: CA-F&M Turf Sprint, F&M-4+, 6.5f-DHT (P3, DD, Hi-5)

You can't get much more Cal bred than Nardini ~ MGSW Acclamation out of the multiple Cal (and open) stakes winner Ismene (Tribal Rule) ~ and the downhill turf course may be something she'll love. (Ismene was 2nd twice in Cal stakes on it)..

Best Value: #4 Nardini 12-1 5th
Next Best: #9 Warren's Showtime 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #12 Leggs Galore 3-1 WON ($7.20)
Super Add: #11 Eddie's New Dream 15-1 3rd


9th: Cal Cup Sprint, 4+, 6f (DD, Hi-5)

Brickyard Ride back with own kind and horse to beat as potential lone speed, but Letsgertlucky (12-1) has upside and is tactical..

Best Value: #6 Letsgetlucky 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Brickyard Ride 9-5 WON ($5.20)
Exotics Use: #4 Positivity 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #8 Colt Fiction 3-1 6th


10th: Cal Cup Oaks, 3yo-F, 1m-T (Hi-5)

The faves (Big Novel, Professors' Pride, Rose Dawson) are all making turf debuts which makes them at the least questionable (if not vulnerable). A host of big prices (Vaping Angel/15-1, Dendera/12-1, maiden Madiha/20-1) have performances that are competitive. Vivacious Vanessa (4-1) is a split-the-baby candidate returning to turf off a slight break..

Best Value: #12 Vaping Angel 15-1 9th
Next Best: #3 Vivacious Vanessa 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Big Novel 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #5 Madiha 20-1 -


P6 Grid:

5: 2-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 1-5-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 2-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 4-9-12 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 3-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 1-3-12 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (All A's): 2x3x2x3x2x3 = 216 x .20 = $43.20


P5 Grid:

6: 1-8 (A), 5 (B), 3-7 (C)
7: 2-8 (A), - (B), 1-3 (C)
8: 4-9 (A), 12 (B), - (C)
9: 3-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 3-12 (A), 1 (B), 5-7-8-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x3x2x3 = 108 x .50 = $54
All A's: 2x2x2x2x2 = 32 x .50 = $16
Backups ($64): $16 (3-7) + $16 (1-3) + $32 (5-7-8-11)


P4 Grid:

7: 2-8 (A), 1-3 (B), - (C)
8: 4-9-12 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 3-6 (A), 4 (B), - (C)
10: 1-3-12 (A), - (B), 5-6-7-8-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x3x3 = 108 x .50 = $54
All A's: 2x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backups: $30 (5-6-7-8-11)

$0.50 Pick 4 (8/12/3/11) Paid $159.30


Good luck!
Steve