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Old 10-19-2012, 06:04 AM
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Cannon Shell Cannon Shell is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Merlinsky View Post
Seems to be more of a descent from the 80s on. Is that due to a greater emphasis on breed to sell and record auction prices vs. the traditional homebred operations? It was my understanding that the decade of the 1980s was where a yearling sales bubble developed. Surely there's a shortening of careers as a result when getting their babies in the ring is an objective of increasing importance.
I think it has far more to do with the number of horses than anything. In 1960 there were 29798 starters. By 1990 there 89716. You dont have to be a genius to figure out that as the numbers expanded the average horse in 1990 was of far less quality than the average horse in 1960. A huge factor in breeding quality horses is the culling of weak producers, both mares and stallions. In order to expand the numbers the culling of weak individuals was clearly not occuring at the rate that it should have been leading to a weaker, more flawed horse overall. Plus the addition of statebred programs into the mix where the horses being produced were clearly subpar didnt help matters either.

The largest 5 year drop came between 1975 and 1980. Please tell me how the breed was impacted during those 5 years by lasix?

From 1970 to 1990 the drop was 2.28 starts. The drop from 1990 to now is 1.74. I use 1990 because Hancock did and the writer clearly didnt do due dilegence to check the numbers.

Anyway Hancock made the statement that begining in the early 90's there was a dramatic drop off in the number of starts per year per horse. That is simply not true.
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