Beldame rematch

[The Indomitable DrugS]

Even if all three run back in the Beldame - you'll see much faster fractions and a MUCH slower pace.

The speed of the track for the Personal Ensign was very similar on Alabama day.

Let's take the Alabama's 4th place finisher Devil May Care - a filly who was in front of speedy horses like Discreetly Mine, Conveyance, Sidney's Candy after a mile in the Kentucky Derby before collapsing late. She's a horse who I believe wants no part of 10 furlongs.

In the Alabama - over a very similar track to the one in the Personal Ensign - she was rating comfortably while 5 lengths behind a 1:14.81 pace.

Acting Happy - the Alabama pacesetter - would have been 17 lengths behind Rachel Alexandra's PE pace .. which means Devil May Care would have trailed Rachel Alexandra by 22 lengths with four furlongs to go.

Here's how Devil May Care's race looks if she ran in the PE instead of Alabama:

After six furlongs: 22 lengths back

After one-mile: 11 lengths back

At the finish: In a photo with Rachel Alexandra for 2nd place

Here's how Harve De Grace's race looks in the PE:

After six furlongs: 21 lengths back

After one-mile: 10 lengths back

At the finsh: Finishes 4.5 lengths in front of Rachel Alexandra - wins the race easily


Here's Life AT Ten's race in the Alabama instead of PE:

After six furlongs: She's on a 16.5 length lead

After One Mile: She's on a 6.5 length lead

At the finish: She finishes about 16 lengths behind Blind Luck and Harve De Grace.