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Old 09-26-2009, 06:17 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,695
Default 9/26: Belmont (4th-10th); Calder (Big 4); PHA (Turf Amazon)

Got skunked at Belmont in P4/P6 tries with odd set of circumstances producing low-priced winners that were curiously tough to string together on tickets. Honestly don't know what I would have done differently, and luckily, the $2,600 (P6) and $180 (P4) weren't the kind of returns that get you suicidal. Hope you did OK. Fun and eclectic racing around the country today with Belmont's card particularly intriguing for wagering purposes. Calder .50 Big 4 looks like good action too. Regionally, Laurel hosts Jim McKay Maryland Million Day, Turfway features the Kentucky Cup, and Remington has their Oklahoma Classics card tonight. Plenty of other good racing scattered about too, with Presque Isle winding down (3 stakes), Woodbine (Selene/Ontario Derby) and Hastings (British Columbia Oaks/Derby) hosting nice Weekends.


BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: MSW, 3+, 7f-T (P3, DD)

Interestring group with pair posted widest (#9 Count Catamount; #10 Strong Commitment) having run 'fast enough' to have won already on main track and now try sod. Clement fave (#7 Wild Entry) gets blinks looking to get over top. Tough call..

Most Likely: #7 Wild Entry 5-2 4th
Best Value: #1a (POE) Lieutenant 10-1 7th/11th
Next Best: #10 Strong Commitment 4-1 WON
Exotics Use: #5 Caffe D' Oro 6-1 6th


5th: MSW, 2yo, 6.5f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Global Force 3-1 2nd (WON on DQ)
Best Value: #2 SCR
Next Best: #1e Hennig entry 6-1 5th/6th
Exotics Use: #6 Magic Lion 8-1 3rd


6th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Tremendous betting race..

Best Value: #4 Holy Anthem 8-1 6th
Most Likely: #9 Cherokee Speed 6-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Yankee Empire 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #2 Hammock 20-1 7th


7th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f-IT (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #9 GOLDEN GUSKA 4-1 4th
Next Best: #12 Pure Pulpit 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Key Victory 8-1 2nd
Super Add: #3 Burnished Copper 10-1 6th


8th: NYB-OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Another fun wagering affair with 4-1 2nd choice (#1 Separatist) and Brown-Ramsey returnee (#8 Dirty Water Dog, 6-1) sure to draw money while no better than several with more alluring prices..

Best Value: #4 Solvent 10-1 WON
Most Likely: #6 Missinglisalewis 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Tobruk 6-1 6th
Super Add: #5 Zip to the City 30-1 8th


9th: 16th Gallant Bloom (Gr. II), F&M-3+, 6.5f (DD, Super)

Best Value: #6 Thunders Dove 6-1 4th
Most Likely: #2 Indian Blessing 8-5 WON
Next Best: #3 Sara Louise 7-5 2nd
Super Add: #4 Sky Haven 12-1 3rd


10th: NYB-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f-IT (Super)

Most Likely: #4 Runfromthestorm 3-1 5th
Best Value: #1 Adastraperaspera 8-1 11th
Next Best: #2 Meese Rocks 9-2 2nd
Super Add: #9 More Oats Please 5-1 3rd


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 9-12
8: 1-3-4-5-6-8
9: 2-3-6
10: 1-4

2x6x3x2 = $72



CALDER RACE COURSE


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: Needles, 3yo, 8.5f-OFF THE TURF (.50 "Big 4", Super)

Most Likely: #7 Livingston Street 3-1 5th
Next Best: #9 Grand Cash 2-1 4th
Best Value: #3 Powerchord 12-1 6th
Super Add: #4 Cinnamon Road 4-1 WON


8th: Foolish Pleasure, 2yo, 1m,70y (P3, Super)

Most Likely: #3 THANK YOU PHILIPPE 9-5 4th
Best Value: #4 Lucas Brady 12-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Bim Bam 3-1 WON
Super Add: #2 Allez Reef 4-1 2nd


9th: Judy's Red Shoes, 3yo-F, 8.5f-OFF THE TURF (P3, Super)

Most Likely: #10 Royal Card 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #3 Hopeful Image 20-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Sweet Repent 8-1 WON
Super Add: #9 One Proud Lady 10-1 5th


10th: Brave Raj, 2yo-F, 1m,70y (P3, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Sweetlalabye 4-1 4th
Best Value: #3 Rosebud's Image 8-1 11th
Next Best: #8 The Isabella Angel 5-1 2nd
Super Add: #12 Successful Song 7-2 3rd


<$50 P4 Play:

7: 3-4-7-9
8: 3
9: 10
10: 3-7-8-12

4x1x1x3 = 12 x $2 = $24

7: 3-4-7-9
8: 3
9: 1-3-10
10: 3-7-8

4x1x3x4 = 48 x .50 = $24

Total = $48



PHILADELPHIA PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


9th: 3rd Turf Amazon, F&M-3+, 5f-T

Most Likely: #5 Smart and Fancy 3-1 4th
Best Value: #9 Juliet's Spirit 12-1 7th
Next Best: #1 Queen Ofthe Catsle 9-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Dubai Majesty 6-1 3rd


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 09-26-2009 at 08:15 PM.
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